Binary_Forecasting_Service

PREPWORK FOR 9/30 DRAFT 2

לונג
FX_IDC:XAUUSD   זהב / דולר אמריקאי
HEADER - This is a theoretical followup to previous post, PREPWORK FOR 9/30.

SUMMARY - The first 4 BOXES ARE ALL CONDITIONAL. This means that I don't want to talk about this until price really does make it through BOX 4.

DETAILS - See previous post for how we got here.
הערה:
9/26 2:26 PM ET 1899.34 bid/ask on ICE/IDC ticker
a) the bollingers say price has been out of bounds since 1903
b) but it keeps falling
c) DRAFT 2 could be dead right now the way things look
הערה:
9/26 6:33 PM ET 1901.XX
a) it's getting late for the move to start
b) so in effect, odds are disappearing
c) if it moved before 2 PM, it would need to hit 1925-ish by WED 3PM
d) if it moves now, it needs 1928-ish
e) if it moves at midnight, it would need 1931-1932
f) why?
g) in order to keep regression waves "in order"
h) while BOX 1 have barely started, odds of regressions staying in order are not looking good
הערה:
7:14 PM ET, PRICE DOESN'T STAY IN THIS ELLIPSE FOR A LONG TIME:
a) so it usually doesn't go down this far while red wave remains over gray wave
b) that is unless it spikes up again
c) or gets pushed slowly to 1875 area
הערה:
4:40 AM ET 9/27
1) took blue route
2) wants 1885
הערה:
3) bulls putting in fight for 1904
4] but too little too late to make a difference
הערה:
5) 7:36 AM ET, 1893.xx
6) first signs of a bottom at 1892.5
7) today's max vol for bulls is 1910-1915
8) there is opportunity, but no action yet
הערה:
12:30 PM ET 1876.XX
1) multiple short and intermediate 2 standard deviations bollingers going off
2) it is EXTREMELY out of bounds
3) but I am too scared to do anything about it
הערה:
4) on normal vol basis we don't get to 1875 until 10/05 and 10/06
הערה:
5) but what's so cool about today is I have a way to catch even this move now
6) I just need 10 screens going all the time
הערה:
7)
הערה:
8) that's almost 3 standard deviations on the 14-day
9) I'm itching to buy here but haven't pulled the trigger
הערה:
10) 1:40 PM ET 1873.XX, obviously DRAFT 2 has been dead, but I got AN AMAZING DRAFT 3!
11) so I think I got what it wants to do
12) this part took a while bc it wasn't possible until it did what it did today
13) which is get under 1885 AND HELD AND KEPT DROPPING
14) so we are in for another leg down by 10/13
15) this time 1760s is first look
16) I don't have the path down yet but it's gonna get ugly
הערה:
17) minutes later..
18) so there are 2 legit targets, first 1775
הערה:
19) I'm trying to disprove 1675
הערה:
20) oh my god God.. it's 1635, I checked and double checked
הערה:
21) so it's 1775 and 1635
22) I am so excited I can't contain myself...
23) why?
24) that's 240 down from 1875
25) and no one is going to see it coming unless they have this technique
הערה:
26) stay with me for DRAFT 3
27) from 10/01 to 10/13 I will provide around the clock 20 hours a day updates
הערה:
28) let's make big BIG MONEY!
הערה:
29) 9/27, 2/06 PM
30) so 1775-1800 first, then 1630
31) THIS IS 200% LEGIT!
32) I am not pulling your leg
הערה:
33) 9/27 7:43 PM ET 1876.XX
34) it looks like a liquid crisis pattern
35) so first thing is, fractal math in my head says we should go to 1840s
36) and then bounce back up to 1875-ish
37) then we crash continuously
הערה:
38) I don't have DRAFT 3 READY
39) I intend to have it ready before Sunday open on 10/0
הערה:
Typo, 10/01.
הערה:
9/27 10:29 PM ET - THIS POST HAS ENDED - HERE IS DRAFT 3:
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