This strategy is focused on leveraged funds (SPXL as basis that stands for 3x S&P500) and aims at maximising profit while keeping potential drawdowns at measurable level
Originally created by TearRepresentative56, I`m not the author of the concept, just backtesting it and sharing with the community
Key idea: Buy or Sell SPXL SPXL if triggered Trigger: HighYield Spread Change ( BAMLH0A0HYM2 BAMLH0A0HYM2). BAMLH0A0HYM2 can be used as indicator of chop/decline market (if spread rises significantly)
How it works: 1. Track BAMLH0A0HYM2 for 30% decline from local high marks the 'buy' trigger for SPXL (with all available funds) 2. When BAMLH0A0HYM2 increases 30% from local low (AND is higher then 330d EMA) strategy will signal with 'sell' trigger (sell all available contracts) 3. When in position strategy shows signal to DCA each month (adding contracts to position)
Current version update: Added DCA function User can provide desired amount of funds added into SPXL each month. Funds will be added ONLY when user holds position already and avoids DCAing while out of the market (while BAML is still high)
Backtesting results: 11295% for SPXL (since inception in 2009) with DCAing of 500USD monthly 4547% for SPXL (since inception in 2009) without DCA (only 10 000USD invested initially) For longer period: even with SP500 (no leverage) the strategy provides better results than Buy&Hold (420% vs 337% respectively since 1999)
Default values (can be changed by user): Start investing amount = 10 000 USD Decline % (Entry trigger) = 30% Rise % (Exit trigger) = 30% Timeframe to look for local high/low = 180 days DCA amount = 500 USD Inflation yearly rate for DCA amount = 2% EMA to track = 330d
Important notes: 1. BAMLH0A0HYM2 is 1 day delayed (that provides certain lag) 2. Highly recommended to select 'on bar close' option in properties of the strategy 3. Please use DAILY SPXL chart. 4. Strategy can be used with any other ticker - SPX, QQQ or leveraged analogues (while basic scenario is still in SPXL)
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