BTC vs GOLD Macro RotationBTC vs GOLD Macro Rotation Indicator
BTC vs GOLD Macro Rotation Model
This indicator is a macroeconomic rotation model that compares the relative attractiveness of Bitcoin (BTC) versus Gold (GOLD) based on multiple fundamental macro factors.
How does it work?
The model analyzes weekly data from various macroeconomic indicators and generates a score for each asset. The taller bar indicates the preferred asset to rotate capital into.
- Green bars (above zero): BTC strength
- Yellow bars (below zero):GOLD strength
- Info table:Shows exact percentages and rotation recommendation
Macroeconomic Factors Analyzed:
1. DXY (US Dollar Index)
- Strong dollar → Favors GOLD
- Weak dollar → Favors BTC
2. Oil (WTI Crude)
- Oil rising → Favors GOLD
- Oil falling → Favors BTC
3. Copper
- Copper rising → Favors BTC (risk-on)
- Copper falling → Favors GOLD (risk-off)
4. Real Rates (Fed Funds - YoY Inflation)
- Real rates falling → Favors GOLD
- Real rates rising → Favors BTC
5. Fertilizer/Natural Gas Regime (Urea, Ammonia, Natural Gas)**
- Specific combinations of movements in these commodities generate inflationary/deflationary regime signals
Fertilizer Rules:**
| Urea | Ammonia | Gas | Signal |
|------|---------|-----|--------|
| ↑ | ↑ | ↓ | GOLD +2 |
| ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | GOLD +3, BTC -1 |
| ↓ | ↓ | ↓ | BTC +3, GOLD -1 |
| ↑ | ↓ | ↓ | BTC +3 |
| ↓ | ↑ | ↑ | GOLD +3, BTC -1 |
Technical Features:
- Operates on weekly timeframe regardless of chart
- Normalized changes for signal stability
- Configurable EMA smoothing
- Safe handling of invalid symbols (won't break if a ticker doesn't exist)
- All tickers are user-editable
Configurable Inputs:
- Symbols for all assets (BTC, GOLD, DXY, Oil, Copper, CPI, Fed Funds, Gas, Urea, Ammonia)
- Individual weights for each macro component
- Normalization length
- EMA smoothing
Interpretation:**
- **BTC dominant (taller green):** Macro conditions favor risk/digital assets
- **GOLD dominant (taller yellow):** Macro conditions favor safe-haven/tangible assets
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Recommended Timeframe: Weekly (W) or Daily (D)
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