Rolling Straddle PremiumScript is Basically intended to provide insight's on the Rolling Straddle premium for the selected index based on the input settings.
Important thing to consider for the script to work seamlessly:
Specify the LTP in the input field (need not be very accurate)
Specify the Expiry Date for the Option Strike.
Ensure Profile matches to the chart script (Index Script)
Note: Zones marked in Blue, is the max level that indicator can track the option prices. beyond which it may fail to track, during such time consider reloading the indicator with Latest LTP .
Labels on the chart indicate that If i had shorted the Straddle, what would be my current position of that Straddle. however the rational behind shorting is only the pivot high points (not sure if this is right or wrong! )
Note On Labels: Labels are delayed basis the pivot point candles specified in the indicator settings.
EN: Entry Price (Straddle Premium) of the Strike Specified.
Cur: Current Price ( Current Straddle Premium ) of the Strike Specified.
SH: Max Straddle Premium ( Increase in Premium ) since position is active.
SL: Min Straddle Premium ( Premium Erosion ) since position is active.
Options-strategy
Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
Weekly Options Expiry Candle V.2In India Weekly options expire on Thursday and that creates a different price action candle than the week timeframe.
My previous script Weekly Options Expiry Candle has some limitations. This script overcame those limitations and added some features.
You can use this in any intraday time frame candle.
It will show:
All expiry candle in box format
Expiry OHLC label
Pivot (Floor or Fibonacci) based on expiry OHLC data
Developing Expiry candle and Pivot
A table showing expiry range(high-low) and Expiry body abs(open-close) stats.
You can turn on or off any feature.
Please let me know if you found this script useful or have any questions or suggestions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
NSE:NIFTY
Index Reversal Range with Volatility Index or VIXWhat is the Indicator?
• The indicator is a visualization of maximum price in which the respective index can go up to in comparison with it's Volatility Index or VIX.
Who to use?
• Intraday
• Swing
• Position
• Long term Investors
• Futures
• Options
• Portfolio Managers
• Mutual Fund Managers
• Index Traders
• Volatility based Traders
• Long term Investors and Options Traders gets the maximum benefit
What timeframe to use?
• 1 Year: Position & Investors
• 6 Months: Position & Investors
• 3 Months: Swing & Position
• 1 Month: Swing & Position
• 1 Week: Swing
• 1 Day: Swing
• 1 Hour: Intraday & Swing
What are Upper and Lower lines?
• Upper Line: If the index price reach closer to the Upper line there is a high chance of reversal to Bearish trend.
• Lower Line: If the index price reach closer to the Lower line there is a high chance of reversal to Bullish trend.
• This need to be confirmed with multiple levels like Daily, Weekly, Monthly etc.
How to use?
• If the price reach closer to that level there is a high chance of reversal from the current trend.
• To identify the reversal zone of the index.
• To identify the trend.
• Option Traders can Sell a Call or Put Option from that level.
• Long term Investors, Position or Swing traders can plan for a Long entry.
• Intraday traders can use lower timeframes to do the same.
Indicator Menu
• Input VIX: Identify the VIX Symbol of your Index and type it in the box.
• For example for NIFTY Index chart type INDIAVIX in the box.
• Choose multiple timeframes according to your convenience.
How to turn on indicator Name and Value labels?
• Right side of the screen >
• Right click on the Price scale >
• Labels > Indicators and financial name labels, Indicators and financial value labels
Further Reading:
• Various videos and reading materials are available about this method.
Top 40 High Low Strategy for SPY, 5minThis strategy is developed based on my High Low Index SPY Top 40 indicator
Notes:
- this strategy is only developed for SPY on the 5 min chart . It seems to work with QQQ as well, but it isn't optimized for it
- P/L shown is based on 10 SPY option contracts, call or put, with strike price closest to the entry SPY price and expiry of 0 to 1 day. This includes commissions (can be changed). This is only an estimate calculated using an arbitrary multiplier factor, this can be changed in the setting
- P/L is based on $5000 initial capital
- Works with both regular / extended trading session turned on/off. However, max drawdown is 1/2 with extended trading session ON
- there is still a bug that doesn't allow alert to be created due to calculation error, will update once fixed
This strategy combines signals from the following indicators to determine entry signals:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40
- MACD
- Linear Regression Slope
Entry signal is triggered when:
- High Low Index line crosses the EMA line
- MACD trending in the same direction
- Linear Regression slope is accelerating above a threshold in the same direction, indicating a strong trend
Profit target(PT) and stop loss(SL) are determined using ATR value, with 2:1 Reward to Risk ratio as default.
Exit signal may be triggered prior to PT or SL trigger when:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40 shows a reversal after overbought or oversold conditions (optional)
- Opposite entry signal is triggered
There are a number of optional settings:
- Turn on/off "option trading", P/L will be calculated using share price only without multiplication factor for trading option contracts
- # of options per trade, default to 10
- Reinvest with profit made
- Trade with trailing SL after PT hit
- Take profit early based on Top 40 overbought/oversold
- Trade 0/1 day expiry. This will signal exit by the end of the day on Mon/Wed/Fri, and only exits 1/2 of positions (if in profit) on Tues/Thurs
- Can reduce the SL level without impacting PT
- No entry between 10:05 - 10:20 (don't ask me why, but statistically it performs better)
Consider donating me some of your profit if you make $$$ hahaha~ ;)
Enjoy~~
CPR Option Selling StrategyGood afternoon traders,
This is a script I built for option selling, in attempt to have a high success rate.
The gist of how it works:
It uses the opening or close of the current chart's timeframe opening bar when referenced against a designated (higher) timeframe's central pivot range (CPR).
Using that comparison, this script calculates an option to sell: put, call, or iron condor. It will calculate a call value using an average of the CPR central pivot and the max value of the prior higher timeframe's high or R1 (whichever is higher.)
It does the same for the put side, but uses the higher timeframe's low or S1 (whichever is lower.)
It will use the option on the other side of the source (open or close) of the CPR as the "option in play."
Settings:
There are many settings, most are simply "viewable" settings, and probably self explanatory, others, not so much:
"Source for Trigger" - this is the value used on the "opening bar," such as the close. This value is the one compared to the Central Pivot Range in determining whether to sell a call (if the source is lower,) sell a put (if the source is higher,) or an iron condor if it's in the CPR.
"Show Historical Win/Loss Percentages" - this shows a table in the bottom right of the W/L percentages for the current ticker and settings. Used for a quick glance at historical success rates.
"Extend Developing Levels Into the Future" - This will extend the developing values for CPR values, call and put values into the future (good for trying to trade early or setting up pre-market trades, assuming there will not be huge gap in one direction or another.)
"Select Higher Timeframe" - "Auto" will choose the higher timeframe for you. "Manual" will use the next field...
"If Manual, Timeframe for Pivots" - allows you to choose a different higher timeframe.
The next two sections are simply whether to show the plots for different levels of traditional and/or camarilla pivot points.
The last section will allow you to just filter on certain days. Really only useful for "backtesting" certain 0DTE trades on some daily options during the hourly chart.
Example use:
An example use (which I completed last week) on the chart referenced in this share: I sold a put-spread for $0.90, selling a 590 and buying a 570 strike in the middle of the week. I was looking at an hourly timeframe chart with a weekly pivot timeframe for the strategy.
Obviously, making only $0.90 on a $20 spread, there is a lot more to lose than to make, but I did some other analysis to go with it, so I felt safe, and I had a stop set for $1.50. So it worked, along with 3 other plays I did, very similar, and if that "Historical Win/Loss Percentage" is accurate, which I am fairly certain it is, I felt good about it.
The key all comes down to what you sell it for, right? That piece only you can determine. :)
Happy trading and enjoy,
Deuce
Weekly Put SaleWeekly Put Sale
This study is a tool I use for selling weekly puts at the suggested strike prices.
1. The suggested strike prices are based on the weekly high minus an ATR multiple which can be adjusted in the settings
2. You can also adjust the settings to Monthly strike prices if you prefer selling options further out
3. I suggest looking for Put sale premium that is between 0.25% to 0.75% of the strike price for weekly Puts and 1% to 3% of the strike price for monthly Puts
Disclaimers: Selling Puts is an advanced strategy that is risky if you are not prepared to acquire the stock at the strike price you sell at on the expiration date. You must make your own decisions as you will bear the risks associated with any trades you place. To sum it up, trading is risky, and do so at your own risk.
Trade Vertex - Bank Nifty Volume IndicatorNSE:BANKNIFTY
We all know that the value of an Bank Nifty is derived from top banking sector underlying stocks.
The value of Bank Nifty is calculated from free float market capitalization.
Using the same formula, I made an indicator on the bases of weighted volume of each stock.
This indicator will help you to plot Volume on Bank Nifty.
Intrangle - Straddle / StrangleIntrangle is an indicator to assist Nifty / Bank Nifty Option Writers / Sellers to identify the PE / CE legs to Sell for Straddle and Strangle positions for Intraday.
Basic Idea : (My Conclusion for making this Indicator)
1) Last 10 Years data says Nifty / Bank Nifty More than 66% of times Index are sideways or rangebound (within 1% day) .
2) Mostly, First one hour high and low working as good support and resistance.
Once First one hour complete, this indicator will show Strangle High (CE), Strangle Low (PE) and Straddle (CE/PE).
Straddle:
If you want to do straddle strategy, sell at the money strike (CE/PE) when price comes near to the straddle line (black line),
Strangle:
If you want to do Strangle strategy, sell Strangle High (CE) and Strangle Low (PE) when price comes near to the straddle line (black line). Both Strangle High and Low will be out of the money when price near to the straddle line (black line).
Adjustment: option adjustment to be done based on the price movement. Adjustment purely up to the user / trader.
Note1: If price not comes to near straddle line after first hour, better to stay light…
Note2: If first hour not giving wide High / Low, don’t use strangle strike based on this indicator. Straddle can be done any day with require adjustment / hedge. This Indicator is purely for education purpose, user / trader has to be back-tested before their start using it.
This indicator will work in Nifty / Bank Nifty only. Best Time frames are 3/5/15 Mins. This is purely made for Intraday
Happy Trading 😊
OptionsMillionaire SPY Moving Averages and Signalsby ColeJustice
OptionsMillionaire's SPY Options trading system is based mainly on these indicators:
- 8 EMA*
- 21 EMA*
- 100 SMA*
- 200 SMA*
- MACD
- RSI
- Squeeze Momentum
(*provided by this indicator)
and follows these rules:
|
| 1) I never fight the trend. If its green, i buy calls. If its red, i buy puts. I will only buy puts on a green day if there is a overall change in market trend. Inversely, calls on a red day
| 2) Price action is my #1 indicator. I wait for it to confirm my thesis before i enter a trade
| 3) I only trade SPY Options
| 4) My baseline is to choose a call/put that has a DTE (Date To Expiration) 6-7 days out, with a strike $2-$3 away. I adjust that to fit my current appetite for volatility. i virtually never play same day DTE's.
| 5) I set a 10% stop, but usually exit at 8% before my stop triggers depending on current situation
| 6) I utilize about 10-20% of my Portfolio for one trade. Sometimes more. Rarely less.
| 7) I never hold overnight in these market conditions.
| 8) I shoot for 10-20% for gains. Depending on market conditions.
| 9) Always look for confirmations in your indicators.
| 10) I never force a trade. No trade is a good trade too if the entry just isn't there.
| 11) Patience always pays off. A great set-up can form in minutes or seconds. I never regret being patient to enter. I nearly always regret rushing into a trade.
|
This indicator combines the moving averages into a single unit to simplify one part of the indicator usage rules: the 8 EMA / 21 EMA Cross. . The 8 crossing over the 21 is a Bullish signal, while the 8 crossing under the 21 is a Bearish signal. This indicator places flags at these crossover/under points, as well as shading the area between the 8 and 21 EMAs to help visualize the strength of the trend; green during a Bullish cross, and red during a Bearish cross.
A new addition to this strategy is the Hull Moving Average, or HMA. This script defaults to an HMA of 20 and shows alerts when candles close above or below the plot in the form of green and red candle backgrounds. This alert is best used in conjunction with the main crossovers and should be considered an addition level of confidence rather than providing trade entry/exits directly. This indicator is more flexible and you should feel free to adjust the period if you find a different value works better within your own personal trading style.
Each individual element of this indicator can be modified or toggled, providing maximum customization. While you should strive to become comfortable with the default settings, these options are provided in case you feel the need to adjust for your own style (or if testing on tickers other than SPY, for example).
Goodluch, and happy trading!
Implied Volatility PercentileThis script calculates the Implied Volatility (IV) based on the daily returns of price using a standard deviation. It then annualizes the 30 day average to create the historical Implied Volatility. This indicator is intended to measure the IV for options traders but could also provide information for equities traders to show how price is extended in the expected price range based on the historical volatility.
The IV Rank (Green line) is then calculated by looking at the high and low volatility over the number of days back specified in the input parameter, default is 252 (trading days in 1 year) and then calculating the rank of the current IV compared to the High and Low. This is not as reliable as the IV Percentile as the and extreme high or low could have a side effect on the ranking but it is included for those that want to use.
The IV Percentile is calculated by counting the number of days below the current IV, then returns this as a % of the days back in the input
You can adjust the number of days back to check the IV Rank & IV Percentile if you are not wanting to look back a whole year.
This will only work on Daily or higher timeframe charts.
Geometric Brownian Motion BandIf you are an option trader, who are constantly searching opportunities to set up inverse iron condor position or other strategies, you must be familiar in estimating the range induced by Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), or Lognormal distribution someone may call.
The theory behind is adopted in the Black Scholes Option Pricing model, this assumes the asset price follows the GBM, shown below, and estimates the range where the price will fall into on the specific date and probability.
dS = a dt + v dW
Assuming the drift term is zero, this GBM Band applies the same model and helps you to quickly assess the suitable range to set up your option strategies with simple setting:
Length – number of bars covered
Vol Multiple - the z-score of the probability
Default values of the Length and Vol Multiple are set to 20 bars and 2.0 z-score respectively.
You can find an example how the GMB Band work.
You can also applies this GMB Band like how Bollinger's Band does for swing trade or breakaway trade.
If you find this indicator is useful to you, Star it, Follow, Donate, Like and Share.
Your support is a highly motivation for me.
Options Decay Speed for 0DTEUse only for:
SPX, 5 minutes time frame
This indicator is complementing options 0DTE strategy - selling options for SPX index in the same day as they are expiring. Output of the indicator (red or green color of the curve) indicates whether is profitable to sell options at given moment at delta and VIX specified in the parameters. Changing parameter "Candles" is not recommended.
Main thought is that options expire with certain speed (theta decay) when stock doesnt move. When stock moves in unfavorable direction slowly enough, decay speed can compensate for disadvantage coming from option delta. Intuitively there must be certain speed of stock value change (expressed in stock value per 5 minutes) that is exactly compensating theta decay. This indicator calculates those two values (details below) and shows, where theta decay is faster than stock movement in the last hour and thus favorable to sell options.
Indicator gets its result from comparing two values:
1) volatility in the form of highest high and lowest low for past 12 candles (one hour in total) divided by 12 - meaning average movement of stock expressed in
2) speed of options value decay in form of combination of theta decay and option delta. Formulas are approximation of Black-Scholes model as Pine script doesnt allow for advanced functions. Approximations are accurate to 2 decimal points from market open to one hour before market close and will not indicate green when accuracy is not sufficient. Its value is also expressed in so its mutualy comparable.
My focus was not on code elegance but on practical usability.
Written by Ondřej Škop.
Binary option trading by two previous barsThis simple script uses the idea of inertia of the market. if 2 previous candles have the same color, current meant to have that too. Following this signal is equal to buying a binary option on the start of the bar (week here). Signals are shown as arrows on the series. The color of the bar shows the outcome of the current option: yellow is success, black is failure. The same outcomes are at the bottom of the chart. The blue line is the total revenue of all options so far. Can be used as template for strategy simulation.
