Reversal Probability Zone & Levels [LuxAlgo]The Reversal Probability Zone & Levels tool allows traders to identify a zone starting from the last detected reversal to highlight the probability of where the next reversal would be from a price and time perspective.
Price and time levels within the zone are displayed for up to 4 percentiles defined by the user.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the tool displays a zone with the 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles on both the price and time axis, indicating where, when and how many of the past reversals have occurred.
Traders can select the length for swing detection and the maximum number of reversals for probability calculations. The tool considers both bullish and bearish reversals separately, which means that if the last reversal was a swing high, the zone would show the probabilities for the last defined Maximum reversals
The Maximum reversals value has a direct impact on the probabilities, the more data traders use the more significant the result, probabilities over 10 occurrences are far weak compared to probabilities over 1000 occurrences.
🔹 Percentiles
Traders can fine-tune the percentile parameters in the settings panel.
A given percentile means that the number of occurrences in the data set is less than or equal to the percentile.
In English, this means
Percentile 20th: 20% of the occurrences are less than or equal to this value, so 80% of the occurrences are greater than this value.
Percentile 50th: 50% of the occurrences are below and 50% are above this value.
Percentile 80th: 80% of occurrences are lower than or equal to this value, so 20% of occurrences are greater than this value.
🔹 Normalize data
The Normalize Data feature allows traders to make an apples to apples comparison when we have a lot of historical data on high timeframe charts, using returns between swings instead of raw price.
🔹 Display Style
By default, the tool has the No overlapping feature enabled to display a clean chart, traders can turn it off, but this can fill the chart with too much information and barely see the price.
Traders can enable/disable settings to show only the last zone and the swing markers on the chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: The maximum length in bars used to identify a swing
Maximum Reversals: Maximum number of reversals included in calculations
Normalize Data: Use returns between swings instead of raw price
Percentiles: Enable/disable each of the four percentiles and select the percentile number, line style, colors, and size
🔹 Style
No Overlapping Zones: Enable or disable the No overlap between zones feature
Show Only Last Zone: Enable/disable display of last zone only
Show Marks: Enable/disable reversal markers
Percentiles
Dema Percentile Standard DeviationDema Percentile Standard Deviation
The Dema Percentile Standard Deviation indicator is a robust tool designed to identify and follow trends in financial markets.
How it works?
This code is straightforward and simple:
The price is smoothed using a DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average).
Percentiles are then calculated on that DEMA.
When the closing price is below the lower percentile, it signals a potential short.
When the closing price is above the upper percentile and the Standard Deviation of the lower percentile, it signals a potential long.
Settings
Dema/Percentile/SD/EMA Length's: Defines the period over which calculations are made.
Dema Source: The source of the price data used in calculations.
Percentiles: Selects the type of percentile used in calculations (options include 60/40, 60/45, 55/40, 55/45). In these settings, 60 and 55 determine percentile for long signals, while 45 and 40 determine percentile for short signals.
Features
Fully Customizable
Fully Customizable: Customize colors to display for long/short signals.
Display Options: Choose to show long/short signals as a background color, as a line on price action, or as trend momentum in a separate window.
EMA for Confluence: An EMA can be used for early entries/exits for added signal confirmation, but it may introduce noise—use with caution!
Built-in Alerts.
Indicator on Diffrent Assets
INDEX:BTCUSD 1D Chart (6 high 56 27 60/45 14)
CRYPTO:SOLUSD 1D Chart (24 open 31 20 60/40 14)
CRYPTO:RUNEUSD 1D Chart (10 close 56 14 60/40 14)
Remember no indicator would on all assets with default setting so FAFO with setting to get your desired signal.
TTP QFL OptimiserThis tool is designed to help finding the best take profit and stop loss levels when trading with QFL bases (Quick Fingers Luc).
You can use it to see the average drawdown among all historic bases broken for an asset and then find the drawdowns that are more frequent using the percentile parameters provided.
For example, by knowing that 98% of the bases got broken with a drawdown of up to 5% can become extremely useful for deciding where to place your take profit or stop loss levels.
It supports QFL 1H, 2H and 4H but make sure to set the chart timeframe to a lower timeframe than QFL to obtain valid results.
Two percentiles are provided to be able to evaluate potential TP and SL at the same time.
Steps:
- Load an asset in the 15min TF
- Select the QFL version: 1H more deals / lower quality vs 4H less deals/ better quality
- Find a percentile that triggers enough deals (example: 70) and then another percentile that doesn't get hit too much (example: 98)
- Confirm the values p1 and p2 provided in the table and the white and grey lines for the results of which drawdown percentages correspond to such selection of percentiles
Once having p1 and p2 use your backtesting and forward testing tools to confirm and adjust accordingly.
