Nearest Neighbor Extrapolation of Price [Loxx]I wasn't going to post this because I don't like how this calculates by puling in the Open price, but I'm posting it anyway. This does work in it's current form but there is a. better way to do this. I'll revisit this in the future.
Anyway...
The k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm (k-NN) searches for k past patterns (neighbors) that are most similar to the current pattern and computes the future prices based on weighted voting of those neighbors. This indicator finds only one nearest neighbor. So, in essence, it is a 1-NN algorithm. It uses the Pearson correlation coefficient between the current pattern and all past patterns as the measure of distance between them. Also, this version of the nearest neighbor indicator gives larger weights to most recent prices while searching for the closest pattern in the past. It uses a weighted correlation coefficient, whose weight decays linearly from newer to older prices within a price pattern.
This indicator also includes an error window that shows whether the calculation is valid. If it's green and says "Passed", then the calculation is valid, otherwise it'll show a red background and and error message.
Inputs
Npast - number of past bars in a pattern;
Nfut -number of future bars in a pattern (must be < Npast).
lastbar - How many bars back to start forecast? Useful to show past prediction accuracy
barsbark - This prevents Pine from trying to calculate on all past bars
Related indicators
Hodrick-Prescott Extrapolation of Price
Itakura-Saito Autoregressive Extrapolation of Price
Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg AR-SE Extra. of Price
Weighted Burg AR Spectral Estimate Extrapolation of Price
Levinson-Durbin Autocorrelation Extrapolation of Price
Fourier Extrapolator of Price w/ Projection Forecast
חפש סקריפטים עבור "algo"
Hodrick-Prescott Extrapolation of Price [Loxx]Hodrick-Prescott Extrapolation of Price is a Hodrick-Prescott filter used to extrapolate price.
The distinctive feature of the Hodrick-Prescott filter is that it does not delay. It is calculated by minimizing the objective function.
F = Sum((y(i) - x(i))^2,i=0..n-1) + lambda*Sum((y(i+1)+y(i-1)-2*y(i))^2,i=1..n-2)
where x() - prices, y() - filter values.
If the Hodrick-Prescott filter sees the future, then what future values does it suggest? To answer this question, we should find the digital low-frequency filter with the frequency parameter similar to the Hodrick-Prescott filter's one but with the values calculated directly using the past values of the "twin filter" itself, i.e.
y(i) = Sum(a(k)*x(i-k),k=0..nx-1) - FIR filter
or
y(i) = Sum(a(k)*x(i-k),k=0..nx-1) + Sum(b(k)*y(i-k),k=1..ny) - IIR filter
It is better to select the "twin filter" having the frequency-independent delay Тdel (constant group delay). IIR filters are not suitable. For FIR filters, the condition for a frequency-independent delay is as follows:
a(i) = +/-a(nx-1-i), i = 0..nx-1
The simplest FIR filter with constant delay is Simple Moving Average (SMA):
y(i) = Sum(x(i-k),k=0..nx-1)/nx
In case nx is an odd number, Тdel = (nx-1)/2. If we shift the values of SMA filter to the past by the amount of bars equal to Тdel, SMA values coincide with the Hodrick-Prescott filter ones. The exact math cannot be achieved due to the significant differences in the frequency parameters of the two filters.
To achieve the closest match between the filter values, I recommend their channel widths to be similar (for example, -6dB). The Hodrick-Prescott filter's channel width of -6dB is calculated as follows:
wc = 2*arcsin(0.5/lambda^0.25).
The channel width of -6dB for the SMA filter is calculated by numerical computing via the following equation:
|H(w)| = sin(nx*wc/2)/sin(wc/2)/nx = 0.5
Prediction algorithms:
The indicator features the two prediction methods:
Metod 1:
1. Set SMA length to 3 and shift it to the past by 1 bar. With such a length, the shifted SMA does not exist only for the last bar (Bar = 0), since it needs the value of the next future price Close(-1).
2. Calculate SMA filer's channel width. Equal it to the Hodrick-Prescott filter's one. Find lambda.
3. Calculate Hodrick-Prescott filter value at the last bar HP(0) and assume that SMA(0) with unknown Close(-1) gives the same value.
4. Find Close(-1) = 3*HP(0) - Close(0) - Close(1)
5. Increase the length of SMA to 5. Repeat all calculations and find Close(-2) = 5*HP(0) - Close(-1) - Close(0) - Close(1) - Close(2). Continue till the specified amount of future FutBars prices is calculated.
Method 2:
1. Set SMA length equal to 2*FutBars+1 and shift SMA to the past by FutBars
2. Calculate SMA filer's channel width. Equal it to the Hodrick-Prescott filter's one. Find lambda.
3. Calculate Hodrick-Prescott filter values at the last FutBars and assume that SMA behaves similarly when new prices appear.
4. Find Close(-1) = (2*FutBars+1)*HP(FutBars-1) - Sum(Close(i),i=0..2*FutBars-1), Close(-2) = (2*FutBars+1)*HP(FutBars-2) - Sum(Close(i),i=-1..2*FutBars-2), etc.
The indicator features the following inputs:
Method - prediction method
Last Bar - number of the last bar to check predictions on the existing prices (LastBar >= 0)
Past Bars - amount of previous bars the Hodrick-Prescott filter is calculated for (the more, the better, or at least PastBars>2*FutBars)
Future Bars - amount of predicted future values
The second method is more accurate but often has large spikes of the first predicted price. For our purposes here, this price has been filtered from being displayed in the chart. This is why method two starts its prediction 2 bars later than method 1. The described prediction method can be improved by searching for the FIR filter with the frequency parameter closer to the Hodrick-Prescott filter. For example, you may try Hanning, Blackman, Kaiser, and other filters with constant delay instead of SMA.
Related indicators
Itakura-Saito Autoregressive Extrapolation of Price
Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg AR-SE Extra. of Price
Weighted Burg AR Spectral Estimate Extrapolation of Price
Levinson-Durbin Autocorrelation Extrapolation of Price
Fourier Extrapolator of Price w/ Projection Forecast
Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression [Loxx]Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression is a indicator that implements a Real-Fast Fourier Transform on Price and modifies the output by a measure of Linear Regression. The solid line is the Linear Regression Trend of the windowed data, The green/red line is the Real FFT of price.
What is the Discrete Fourier Transform?
In mathematics, the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) converts a finite sequence of equally-spaced samples of a function into a same-length sequence of equally-spaced samples of the discrete-time Fourier transform (DTFT), which is a complex-valued function of frequency. The interval at which the DTFT is sampled is the reciprocal of the duration of the input sequence. An inverse DFT is a Fourier series, using the DTFT samples as coefficients of complex sinusoids at the corresponding DTFT frequencies. It has the same sample-values as the original input sequence. The DFT is therefore said to be a frequency domain representation of the original input sequence. If the original sequence spans all the non-zero values of a function, its DTFT is continuous (and periodic), and the DFT provides discrete samples of one cycle. If the original sequence is one cycle of a periodic function, the DFT provides all the non-zero values of one DTFT cycle.
What is the Complex Fast Fourier Transform?
The complex Fast Fourier Transform algorithm transforms N real or complex numbers into another N complex numbers. The complex FFT transforms a real or complex signal x in the time domain into a complex two-sided spectrum X in the frequency domain. You must remember that zero frequency corresponds to n = 0, positive frequencies 0 < f < f_c correspond to values 1 ≤ n ≤ N/2 −1, while negative frequencies −fc < f < 0 correspond to N/2 +1 ≤ n ≤ N −1. The value n = N/2 corresponds to both f = f_c and f = −f_c. f_c is the critical or Nyquist frequency with f_c = 1/(2*T) or half the sampling frequency. The first harmonic X corresponds to the frequency 1/(N*T).
The complex FFT requires the list of values (resolution, or N) to be a power 2. If the input size if not a power of 2, then the input data will be padded with zeros to fit the size of the closest power of 2 upward.
What is Real-Fast Fourier Transform?
Has conditions similar to the complex Fast Fourier Transform value, except that the input data must be purely real. If the time series data has the basic type complex64, only the real parts of the complex numbers are used for the calculation. The imaginary parts are silently discarded.
Inputs:
src = source price
uselreg = whether you wish to modify output with linear regression calculation
Windowin = windowing period, restricted to powers of 2: "4", "8", "16", "32", "64", "128", "256", "512", "1024", "2048"
Treshold = to modified power output to fine tune signal
dtrendper = adjust regression calculation
barsback = move window backward from bar 0
mutebars = mute bar coloring for the range
Further reading:
Real-valued Fast Fourier Transform Algorithms IEEE Transactions on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, June 1987
Related indicators utilizing Fourier Transform
Fourier Extrapolator of Variety RSI w/ Bollinger Bands
Fourier Extrapolation of Variety Moving Averages
Fourier Extrapolator of Price w/ Projection Forecast
Protervus Trading ToolkitHi Traders! Welcome to Protervus Trading Toolkit (PTT) , a comprehensive set of tools to help you building, backtesting, and even automating your strategy.
Important : the data and screenshots I publish are solely for presentation and explanation purposes and must not be intended as recommendations or guarantees. Please consider eventual backtesting results seen here as almost-random. My goal is not to provide ready-made strategies, signals, or infallible methods, but rather indicators and tools to help you focus on your own research and build a reliable trading plan based on discipline.
BUILD, BACKTEST, AUTOMATE
The first step is to link a chained indicator which will send Entry signals and, optionally, Exit signals: to integrate your own triggers with this toolkit, check out my tutorial and use this code as a template.
Then, in the Trading Settings you can set the Trading Mode (Full - Long and Short, Long only, or Short only) as well as Starting Capital, Drawdown Limit, Risk per Trade, Fees, and the date range in which trading will be enabled and backtested.
Go further by tweaking your strategy with built-in Take Profit and Stop Loss conditions, and keep it under control thanks to the Statistics Panel.
Trades will be shown on the chart, including TP\SL levels (according to the ones you enable) and per-trade statistics:
Tip: point the cursor over TP or SL icon to open the tooltip, showing additional details about the trade.
BUILT-IN CONDITIONS
Note: all conditions already account for fees.
Take Profit \ Stop Loss percentage
Take Profit or Stop at Loss when a fixed percentage is reached.
Limit \ Hard Stop: the trade will be considered closed when that specific price is reached - otherwise, the candle closing price will be used.
Trailing Take Profit
Trail the price and close the trade in profit when it reverses for the chosen percentage.
Engage and Disengage: activate trailing when the price is above the entry price for the chosen percentage, and de-activate it if price goes past the disengage percentage.
Safety TP: close the trade at Break-Even if the price sharply reverses from engaged area to BE level. A specific Alert is available in order to create a separate trigger with immediate effect.
Note: using TP Safety with an Engage % of zero might result in many early exits, so it is recommended to add some margin to Engage % to avoid that.
Exit \ Stop on Opposite Signal
Close the trade when another, contrary signal is received (e.g. close a Long position when a signal to go Short is received).
Exit \ Stop after X candles
Close the trade after X candles, as soon as the condition is met (e.g. for Take Profit condition, it will close the trade after X candles as soon as the trade is in profit).
Bind to TP \ SL: only validate the condition if the current PnL is above (TakeProfit cond.) or below (Stop Loss cond.) the specified percentage.
ATR Stop
Classic ATR Stop Loss.
Trailing ATR
Chase the price by the defined ratio and close the position when the candle closes past the ATR line.
Bind to TP \ SL: only validate the condition if the current PnL is above (TakeProfit cond.) or below (Stop Loss cond.) the specified percentage.
External Signal (sent from your indicator)
Close the position basing on your own triggers, defined in the chained indicator.
- Bind to TP \ SL: only validate the condition if the current PnL is above (TakeProfit cond.) or below (Stop Loss cond.) the specified percentage.
PANEL CUSTOMIZATION AND ADDITIONAL OPTIONS
A strategy name can be assigned in the settings and will show it at the top of the Statistics Panel, so you can better identify and label your tests and live instances.
The panel can be customized in terms of colors, text size and height. It can be also "split" in modular panels that will appear at the bottom of the chart.
It is also possible to show \ hide prices and live data labels as well as position and Break-Even levels. In some cases you will need to limit the display of those plots in order to avoid PineScript calculation issues.
If you limited the plots but you are checking very old trades, you can enable the Legacy position tracker to see basic markers for positions (position is active, and profit \ loss marker).
In the case you will be sending webhook alerts to a trading bot , "Position Alert Failover" will come in aid to prevent situations where the initial trade closing alert is either not sent or missed: it will keep sending the position closing signal for X candles.
PLUGINS
Thanks to the modular nature of PTT, plugins will eventually be available to provide additional features and extend functionalities even further. Make sure to keep an eye on updates.
CREATING ALERTS
To create alerts you must first select the PTT indicator from the "Condition" drop-down menu, then the whole list of available alerts will appear. When creating alerts, please make sure to set "Once Per Bar Close" for the normal conditions, and "Once Per Bar" for safety conditions (Limit and Hard Stop simulation, Trailing TP Safety Trigger).
Besides positions opening and closing alerts, you also have the option to add extra alerts for when a position is open or not open (e.g. Active Long position, No Long Position) - that might come handy when dealing with trading bots and automation tools. Also, as mentioned earlier, you have the chance to create a special alert as failover in order to repeat the closing alert.
TIPS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Set Visual Order > Bring to front for PTT to avoid other indicators or candles covering up labels.
If you receive errors like "Referencing too many candles" or "Too many drawings", use the " Limit to last candles " function in the Settings panel to lower the number of candles.
If the Statistics Panel or labels are not appearing, and no errors are shown (red circled exclamation mark next to indicator's name), try changing any value in the settings to trigger a new calculation.
The Lowest Point in Trades refers to the maximum movement against your position. However, if the price never goes negative against the Entry level, it will be calculated from the Break-Even level.
Differently from TradingView's Strategy Tester, PTT calculates DrawDown from the Equity line (the starting balance).
Remember that Backtests only show past results, and although very useful to understand if your strategy makes sense, the market can completely change at any moment and ruin your dreams: make sure to avoid over-fitting (using very specific values) in your settings and to prefer more generic values in order to factor broader market situations.
After many successful backtests of your newly created strategy, let it run live without actually trading it for some time (paper trading), and see if it remains valid.
You can use multiple Conditions as safeguard. For example, main Stop condition can be Trailing ATR and secondary Stop condition can be Stop Loss % with Hard Stop, so you will be protected in case of sudden big price moves.
Phase Accumulation, Smoothed Williams %R Histogram [Loxx]Phase Accumulation, Smoothed Williams %R Histogram is a Williams %R indicator using dynamic inputs from Ehlers Phase Accumulation Dominant Cycle Period Algorithm. This indicator includes alerts and signals and is in a smoothed histogram form. The version of Phase Accumulation in this indicator is a modified form of of Ehlers algorithm to allow for better smoothing and cycle length selection.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is Phase Accumulation?
The phase accumulation method of computing the dominant cycle is perhaps the easiest to comprehend. In this technique, we measure the phase at each sample by taking the arctangent of the ratio of the quadrature component to the in-phase component. A delta phase is generated by taking the difference of the phase between successive samples. At each sample we can then look backwards, adding up the delta phases.When the sum of the delta phases reaches 360 degrees, we must have passed through one full cycle, on average.The process is repeated for each new sample.
The phase accumulation method of cycle measurement always uses one full cycle’s worth of historical data.This is both an advantage and a disadvantage.The advantage is the lag in obtaining the answer scales directly with the cycle period.That is, the measurement of a short cycle period has less lag than the measurement of a longer cycle period. However, the number of samples used in making the measurement means the averaging period is variable with cycle period. longer averaging reduces the noise level compared to the signal.Therefore, shorter cycle periods necessarily have a higher out- put signal-to-noise ratio.
Included:
-Toggle on/off bar coloring
-Toggle on/off signals
-Alerts long/short
-Loxx's Expanded Source Types Library
CoinSignals v1.00General description:
This script is designed to determine the further direction of the asset price in the selected timeframe, based on formulas that have their own calculation algorithm. In fact, they are not based on any of the widely known tools. The possible range of operation is from 1 day to 3 minutes, depending on the settings.
CoinSignals v1.00
CoinSignals v1.00
Direction of movement:
When certain indicators of the algorithm are reached, signals appear that are displayed in the form of a triangle directed in a certain direction, green (up) It's long, red (down) it's a short. Also, the entry point to the position will appear on the next candle.
Take Profit Points:
These points are intended for setting limit or stop orders "Take Profit", there are all 3 of them, which does not mean that the price will not go further. They depend on the volatility of the asset and can change up or down.
Stop loss:
This point is given for reference. It is usually used to set a "Stop loss" order. The value of this point also depends on the current volatility of the market.
Rollback/Reversal points:
Displayed as a diamond.
They use multiple divergences to determine the points of a pullback or reversal, they do not use indicators of the RSI, MACD, CCI and others (11 in total), namely divergences arising on these indicators, which are stronger factors for a pullback or reversal.
The red line on the chart is a highly modified moving average, which serves to average the position.
Jurik DMX Histogram [Loxx]Jurik DMX Histogram is the ultra-smooth, low lag version of your classic DMI indicator.
What is the directional movement index?
The directional movement index (DMI) is an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 that identifies in which direction the price of an asset is moving. The indicator does this by comparing prior highs and lows and drawing two lines: a positive directional movement line (+DI) and a negative directional movement line (-DI). An optional third line, called the average directional index (ADX), can also be used to gauge the strength of the uptrend or downtrend.
When +DI is above -DI, there is more upward pressure than downward pressure in the price. Conversely, if -DI is above +DI, then there is more downward pressure on the price. This indicator may help traders assess the trend direction. Crossovers between the lines are also sometimes used as trade signals to buy or sell.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- Toggle on/off bar coloring
Adaptive, Jurik-Filtered, JMA/DWMA MACD [Loxx]Adaptive, Jurik-Filtered, JMA/DWMA MACD is MACD oscillator with a twist. The traditional calculation of MACD is the between two EMAs of price. This traditional approach yields a very noisy and lagged signal. To solve this problem, JMA/DWMA MACD uses the difference between adaptive Juirk-Filtered price and adaptive DWMA to yield a marked improvement over traditional MACD.
What is JMA / DWMA oscillator (MACD)?
Of all the different combinations of moving average filters to use for a MACD oscillator, we prefer using the JMA - DWMA combination.
JMA is ideal for the fast moving average line because it is quick to respond to reversals, is smooth and can be set to have no overshoot. DWMA (double weighted moving average) is ideal for the slower line as is tends to delay reversing direction until JMA crosses it.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- Toggle on/off bar coloring
Adaptive, Jurik-Filtered, Floating RSI [Loxx]Adaptive, Jurik-Filtered, Floating RSI is an adaptive RSI indicator that smooths the RSI signal with a Jurik Filter.
This indicator contains three different types of RSI. They are following.
Wilders' RSI:
The Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) is a well versed momentum based oscillator which is used to measure the speed (velocity) as well as the change (magnitude) of directional price movements. Essentially RSI , when graphed, provides a visual mean to monitor both the current, as well as historical, strength and weakness of a particular market. The strength or weakness is based on closing prices over the duration of a specified trading period creating a reliable metric of price and momentum changes. Given the popularity of cash settled instruments (stock indexes) and leveraged financial products (the entire field of derivatives); RSI has proven to be a viable indicator of price movements.
RSX RSI:
RSI is a very popular technical indicator, because it takes into consideration market speed, direction and trend uniformity. However, the its widely criticized drawback is its noisy (jittery) appearance. The Jurk RSX retains all the useful features of RSI , but with one important exception: the noise is gone with no added lag.
Rapid RSI:
Rapid RSI Indicator, from Ian Copsey's article in the October 2006 issue of Stocks & Commodities magazine.
RapidRSI resembles Wilder's RSI , but uses a SMA instead of a WilderMA for internal smoothing of price change accumulators.
This indicator also uses adaptive cycles to calculate input lengths
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Lastly, RSI is filtered and smoothed using a Jurik Filter
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
Usage
-Red fill color when RSI is in overbought zone means a possible bear trend is incoming
-Green fill color when RSI is in overbought zone means a possible bear trend is incoming
Included
-Bar coloring
Adaptive Jurik Filter MACD [Loxx]Adaptive Jurik Filter MACD uses Jurik Volty and Adaptive Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) to derive Jurik Filter smoothed volatility.
What is MACD?
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA.
The result of that calculation is the MACD line. A nine-day EMA of the MACD called the "signal line," is then plotted on top of the MACD line, which can function as a trigger for buy and sell signals. Traders may buy the security when the MACD crosses above its signal line and sell—or short—the security when the MACD crosses below the signal line. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators can be interpreted in several ways, but the more common methods are crossovers, divergences, and rapid rises/falls.
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- Change colors of oscillators and bars
Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Oscillator [Loxx]Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Oscillator uses Jurik Volty and Adaptive Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) to derive Jurik Filter smoothed volatility.
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- UI options to color bars
Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Bands [Loxx]Adaptive Jurik Filter Volatility Bands uses Jurik Volty and Adaptive, Double Jurik Filter Moving Average (AJFMA) to derive Jurik Filter smoothed volatility channels around an Adaptive Jurik Filter Moving Average. Bands are placed at 1, 2, and 3 deviations from the core basline.
What is Jurik Volty?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
- UI options to shut off colors and bands
Adaptive, Jurik-Smoothed, Trend Continuation Factor [Loxx]Adaptive, Jurik-Smoothed, Trend Continuation Factor is a Trend Continuation Factor indicator with adaptive length and volatility inputs
What is the Trend Continuation Factor?
The Trend Continuation Factor (TCF) identifies the trend and its direction. TCF was introduced by M. H. Pee. Positive values of either the Positive Trend Continuation Factor (TCF+) and the Negative Trend Continuation Factor (TCF-) indicate the presence of a strong trend.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers , 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
-Your choice of length input calculation, either fixed or adaptive cycle
-Bar coloring to paint the trend
Happy trading!
Adaptive Look-back/Volatility Phase Change Index on Jurik [Loxx]Adaptive Look-back, Adaptive Volatility Phase Change Index on Jurik is a Phase Change Index but with adaptive length and volatility inputs to reduce phase change noise and better identify trends. This is an invese indicator which means that small values on the oscillator indicate bullish sentiment and higher values on the oscillator indicate bearish sentiment
What is the Phase Change Index?
Based on the M.H. Pee's TASC article "Phase Change Index".
Prices at any time can be up, down, or unchanged. A period where market prices remain relatively unchanged is referred to as a consolidation. A period that witnesses relatively higher prices is referred to as an uptrend, while a period of relatively lower prices is called a downtrend.
The Phase Change Index (PCI) is an indicator designed specifically to detect changes in market phases.
This indicator is made as he describes it with one deviation: if we follow his formula to the letter then the "trend" is inverted to the actual market trend. Because of that an option to display inverted (and more logical) values is added.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
That's why investors, banks and institutions worldwide ask for the Jurik Research Moving Average ( JMA ). You may apply it just as you would any other popular moving average. However, JMA's improved timing and smoothness will astound you.
What is adaptive Jurik volatility
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers, 2013, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average (VIDYA) adapt to changes in volatility. By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic, relative strength index (RSI), commodity channel index (CCI), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator. This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
Included
-Your choice of length input calculation, either fixed or adaptive cycle
-Invert the signal to match the trend
-Bar coloring to paint the trend
Happy trading!
Bounce Manager S/RThis script is based on the bounce manager ATR script
The S/R script is made for manual input of horizontal S/R lines, the script will then see if price respects these levels by the parameters you input in settings panel. On a respectable bounce it will print buy/sell arrows. The script also has functionality to send alerts, this is helpful if you want to automate S/R lines.
An easy strategy to use would be the one you see in the preview using a grid of round numbers. This script in no way shape or form promises easy gains and like all algorithms should be forward tested on a paper trading account before using real money.
components:
- Max violation: When price moves past this the script will no longer look for entry until a new trend has been established. The line can also be used as a stop loss.
- Confirmation line: When price touches the line during a trend it
will wait to cross over this line to confirm a reaction from the line.
- Min past distance: A trend filtering system, this is a distance from
the line price has to break to confirm trend direction.
- Stop loss: This can be set to a percentage distance from the low after
bounce. Or it can be set to the max violation line
- Take profit: This can be a fixed take profit target or a risk to reward
based take profit. With risk to reward it will multiply the stop loss
distance by the input and use that to create target (green cross)
- ATR based or % based: there are 2 versions of the script, one for strict
percentage based logic and another one based on ATR values
Part of the Honest Algo service.
Adaptive MA Difference constructor [lastguru]A complimentary indicator to my Adaptive MA constructor. It calculates the difference between the two MA lines (inspired by the Moving Average Difference (MAD) indicator by John F. Ehlers). You can then further smooth the resulting curve. The parameters and options are explained here:
The difference is normalized by dividing the difference by twice its Root mean square (RMS) over Slow MA length. Inverse Fisher Transform is then used to force the -1..1 range.
Same Postfilter options are provided as in my Adaptive Oscillator constructor:
Stochastic - Stochastic
Super Smooth Stochastic - Super Smooth Stochastic (part of MESA Stochastic ) by John F. Ehlers
Inverse Fisher Transform - Inverse Fisher Transform
Noise Elimination Technology - a simplified Kendall correlation algorithm "Noise Elimination Technology" by John F. Ehlers
Momentum - momentum (derivative)
Except for Inverse Fisher Transform, all Postfilter algorithms can have Length parameter. If it is not specified (set to 0), then the calculated Slow MA Length is used.
Mean Shift Pivot ClusteringCore Concepts
According to Jeff Greenblatt in his book "Breakthrough Strategies for Predicting Any Market", Fibonacci and Lucas sequences are observed repeated in the bar counts from local pivot highs/lows. They occur from high to high, low to high, high to low, or low to high. Essentially, this phenomenon is observed repeatedly from any pivot points on any time frame. Greenblatt combines this observation with Elliott Waves to predict the price and time reversals. However, I am no Elliottician so it was not easy for me to use this in a practical manner. I decided to only use the bar count projections and ignore the price. I projected a subset of Fibonacci and Lucas sequences along with the Fibonacci ratios from each pivot point. As expected, a projection from each pivot point resulted in a large set of plotted data and looks like a huge gong show of lines. Surprisingly, I did notice clusters and have observed those clusters to be fairly accurate.
Fibonacci Sequence: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34...
Lucas Sequence: 2, 1, 3, 4, 7, 11, 18, 29, 47...
Fibonacci Ratios (converted to whole numbers): 23, 38, 50, 61, 78, 127, 161...
Light Bulb Moment
My eyes may suck at grouping the lines together but what about clustering algorithms? I chose to use a gimped version of Mean Shift because it doesn't require me to know in advance how many lines to expect like K-Means. Mean shift is computationally expensive and with Pinescript's 500ms timeout, I had to make due without the KDE. In other words, I skipped the weighting part but I may try to incorporate it in the future. The code is from Harrison Kinsley . He's a fantastic teacher!
Usage
Search Radius: how far apart should the bars be before they are excluded from the cluster? Try to stick with a figure between 1-5. Too large a figure will give meaningless results.
Pivot Offset: looks left and right X number of bars for a pivot. Same setting as the default TradingView pivot high/low script.
Show Lines Back: show historical predicted lines. (These can change)
Use this script in conjunction with Fibonacci price retracement/extension levels and/or other support/resistance levels. If it's no where near a support/resistance and there's a projected time pivot coming up, it's probably a fake out.
Notes
Re-painting is intended. When a new pivot is found, it will project out the Fib/Lucas sequences so the algorithm will run again with additional information.
The script is for informational and educational purposes only.
Do not use this indicator by itself to trade!
Signals Pirate™ Buy Sell SignalsSignalsPirate™ Algo Premium includes standard Buy and Sell signals on the chart, All-in-One Premium Market Dashboard with current trades, and a wide variety of customizability to help you create your own, unique trading strategies.
The main Input options are 'Reactivity' and 'Depth', which allow for a dynamic trend following strategy that works on all time frames and assets. Using these values the strategy will print the bundles main ‘Buy’ and ‘Sell’ signals to try and identify the trend early and accurately. Their main functions are to dynamically calculate volatility and current trend direction – but we’ve gone more in-depth below!
Reactivity:
Reactivity controls how quickly the Algo reacts to changes in trend. This part of the bundle takes into account the Average True Range (ATR) to gauge current market volatility and direction of the trend. Lowering the reactivity value will generate quicker reaction times of the algorithm as it will lower the threshold of volatility required for a signal to be generated. Therefore, it’ll show trades more frequently.
Depth:
Depth controls the position of the signals according to the trend swing. Calculated using a variation of the Average Direction Index (ADX) to measure the changes in prices over a given period, when running parallel to the Reactivity volatility filter the trend can be identified quickly and accurately on any given time frame or asset. Higher Depth will allow for less frequent and slower entries. In contrast, lower Depth will give more frequent and earlier entries.
The default settings are the best settings we’ve found so far but you can change them to build your own unique trading strategy. We’d recommend experimenting with these values to find the best results for the asset you are trading, and your own personal trading and investing style.
Direction for use:
1. Use on any asset class and time frame.
2. Fine tune the Reactivity (volatility) and Depth (trend sensitivity).
3. Enter Long on ‘Buy’ signal after candle close, enter Short on ‘Sell’ signal after candle close.
4. Exit position on opposite entry signal, for example if you’re currently in a Long position and a ‘Sell’ signal is printed, close your Long position at the candle close, even if you do not plan on shorting and vice versa.
As mentioned previously, this is a trend base system that dynamically operates to function with superior accuracy regardless of what you’re trading. But with the level of customisation available, this can easily be fine tuned to accommodate scalping, reversal trading, or even long term investing.
The Dashboard shows the most relevant and real-time information within a simple panel on the chart. It includes three sections. The first section shows Volatility, Volume, Current Sentiment. The second section shows Trends from a 1-minute timeframe to a Month. The third section shows current trade with Variable TP 1, TP 2, TP 3 (calculated using a combination of S/R levels and ATR values), and Maximum Profit for the current trade that could have been entered using this bundle.
We hope you love this all in one package, and it takes your trading and investing to the next level. Please let us know if you have any questions or queries regarding the logic behind the bundle, or if you have any suggestions for improvements etc. We love your feedback and are constantly striving to continuously improve!
MoonFlag DailyThis is a useful indicator as it shows potential long and short regions by coloring the AI wavecloud green or red.
There is an option to show a faint white background in regions where the green/red cloud parts are failing as a trade from the start position of each region.
Its a combination of 3 algos I developed, and there is an option to switch to see these individually, although this has lots of info and is a bit confusing.
It does have alerts and there are text boxes in the indicator settings where a comment can be input - this is useful for webhooks bots auto trading.
Most useful in this indicator is that at the end of each green/long or red/short region there is a label that shows the % gain or loss for a trade.
The label at the end of the chart shows the % of winning longs/shorts and the average % gain or loss for all the longs/shorts within the set test period (set in settings)
So, I generally set the chart initially on a 15min timeframe with the indicator timeframe (in settings) set to run on say 30min or 1hour. I then select a long test period (several plus months) and then optimize the wavelcloud length (in settings) to give the best %profit per trade. (Longs always seem to give better results than shorts)
I then, change the chart timeframe to much faster, say 1min or 5min, but leave the indicator timeframe at 1 hour. In this manner - the label only shows a few trades however, the algo is run at every bar close and when this is set to 1min, this means that losses will be minimised at the bot exits quickly. In comparison - if the chart is on a 15min timeframe - it can take this amount before the bot will exit a trade and by then there could be catastrophic losses.
It is quite hard to get a positive result - although with a bit of playing around - just as a background indicator - I find this useful. I generally set-up on say 4charts all with different timeframes and then look for consistency between the long/short signal positions. (Although when I run as a bot I use a fast timeframe)
Please do leave some comments and get in touch.
MoonFlag (Josef Tainsh PhD)
Bull Bear Momentum (MYTRIC)█ What market information does this indicator tell you ?
Bull Bear Momentum(BBM) indicator is a combination of leading + lagging indicator.
• Leading Indicator are used to predict the next movement.
• Lagging Indicator are used to show the current movement.
The main purpose of BBM is to measure the factors that affect the rise and fall of stock prices, and thereby increase confidence on your trading.
We use an unique algorithm to separate the movement of each candlestick in the market to calculate the individual momentums between buyer and seller.
By using BBM, you will be able to know whether the current market is leading by buyers or sellers, and know what is the current trend.
Below is the function of indicator.
1 - The battle between buyers & sellers ⚔️
Momentum Balancing
【🟦 Buyer Leading The Market / 🟨 Seller Leading The Market】
2 - Buyer & Seller active 🔥 or inactive
【🟩 Buyer active / 🟥 Seller active】
3 - Buyer & Seller momentum strength 💪
BBM has a value between -20 to +50 and is used to measure the strength of current trend.
-20 ~ -10 = Very Weak Momentum
-09 ~ -05 = Weak Momentum
-04 ~ +00 = Lower Neutral Momentum (Downward Sideway / Ranging Market)
+00 ~ +05 = Upper Neutral Momentum (Upward Sideway / Ranging Market)
+06 ~ +15 = Strong Momentum
+16 ~ +50 = Very Strong Momentum
4 - AD Osc / Risk Osc (same as DT Smart Trend AD Osc)
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█ Benefits & Features
✅ Momentum Balancing
Momentum balancing is measure combination of momentums between buyer and seller
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✅ Buyer & Seller / Bull & Bear Momentum
Analyze the momentums of the buyer and seller individually
🟩 Buyer Momentums
• 🟩 Buyer Momentums Active 🔥
• ⬜ Buyer Momentums inactive
🟥 Seller Momentums
• 🟥 Seller Momentums Active 🔥
• ⬜ Seller Momentums inactive
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✅ Risk Oscillator / Accumulation & Distribution Oscillator
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█ CASE STUDY
*Length setting default as "10", this value determines the period of the algorithm.
The more common settings are 10 or 60.
Below settings are recommended for different trading style.
• Short-term trader / Swing trader = 8 ~ 14
• Mid-term trader = 20 ~ 60
• Long-term trader = 60 and above
• Example 01 (Downtrend) * We do not recommend trading in a downtrend, it is only suitable for swing trade or batch investment
• Example 02 (Weak Trend)
• Example 03 (Strong Trend)
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█ CASE STUDY OF DIVERGENCE ANALYSIS
• Ex 01
• Ex 02
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█ How to find super-trend by using BBM?
*Length setting change to "60"
1. Superbull (Potential Rate 90%) 🐮
• Buyer's momentum must greater than 10 = Strong Trend 🟩; in the meantime Seller's Momentum smaller than -5 = Weak Trend ⬜
• The potential for stock prices to rise 📈 is very large, which is 90% and above, refer example below.
2. Superbear (Potential Rate 90%) 🐻
• Seller's momentum must greater than 10 = Strong Trend 🟥; in the meantime Buyer's Momentum smaller than 0 = Weak Trend ⬜
• The potential for stock prices to fall 📉 is very large, which is 90% and above, refer example below.
• Example 01
• Example 02
• Example 03
v1 Swing TradeHello friends
I have completed the "Swing Trading" Indicator that I have been working on for a long time.
I would like to briefly explain what it does and how it works.
Cryptocurrency Markets have high volatility. Of course, money is made by holding, but we are aware that there are more opportunities in the market as the ebb and flow. I must underline that it is "SMALL" by taking small risks to seize this opportunity. This indicator, which will help us to turn these opportunities to our advantage by taking small risks, briefly works as follows.
It is a blend of 1 indicator, which is based on fibonacci and pivot points, and supports atr indicator data in the background.
I determined the important values of Fibonnaci as entry and exit points. I then completed it with the atr indicator. atr fibonacci automatically pulls the walking graph invisibly.
This data is automatically mixed with the atr indicator.
When the price candles rise above the atr band, the long entry of the entry price comes. immediately after, the stop loss level is set “SMALL”.
Likewise, at the end of 1 Rising Trend, Stuck Prices Will Correct. When the price candles fall below the Atr Band, a short signal comes. and then a "SMALL" Stoploss level is determined together with the entry price.
After entering the position, the following stoploss and take profit work. ( Moves with the Trend, Stop Price Does Not Slip In The Opposite Direction After The First Entry. )
If the trade turns into profit after the stop loss level you entered, you should move your stop loss level together with the algorithm and exit the trade with minimum loss and maximum profit.
Trailing Stoploss
Now it's time to close the position. Price started to shrink. Swing trading Opportunity May Come.
What should the user pay attention to ?
Signal should be expected as in the first image.
When entering the trade, you should definitely put a stoploss.
If the Trade Opportunity is Late, the Transaction should not be entered.
And most importantly, you should carry your stoploss level with the algorithm.
Matters to be Considered in the Settings Tab;
Candles to lookback ( Do not reduce the number of past candles below 50.)
Reverse Target Point ( Definitely Must Stay Active. Don't turn it off.)
Formula a and formula b values increase the signal rate. But Too Many Signals Are Not Healthy.
I wish everyone a lot of earnings.
Nasdaq VXN Volatility Warning IndicatorToday I am sharing with the community a volatility indicator that uses the Nasdaq VXN Volatility Index to help you or your algorithms avoid black swan events. This is a similar the indicator I published last week that uses the SP500 VIX, but this indicator uses the Nasdaq VXN and can help inform strategies on the Nasdaq index or Nasdaq derivative instruments.
Variance is most commonly used in statistics to derive standard deviation (with its square root). It does have another practical application, and that is to identify outliers in a sample of data. Variance is defined as the squared difference between a value and its mean. Calculating that squared difference means that the farther away the value is from the mean, the more the variance will grow (exponentially). This exponential difference makes outliers in the variance data more apparent.
Why does this matter?
There are assets or indices that exist in the stock market that might make us adjust our trading strategy if they are behaving in an unusual way. In some instances, we can use variance to identify that behavior and inform our strategy.
Is that really possible?
Let’s look at the relationship between VXN and the Nasdaq100 as an example. If you trade a Nasdaq index with a mean reversion strategy or algorithm, you know that they typically do best in times of volatility . These strategies essentially attempt to “call bottom” on a pullback. Their downside is that sometimes a pullback turns into a regime change, or a black swan event. The other downside is that there is no logical tight stop that actually increases their performance, so when they lose they tend to lose big.
So that begs the question, how might one quantitatively identify if this dip could turn into a regime change or black swan event?
The Nasdaq Volatility Index ( VXN ) uses options data to identify, on a large scale, what investors overall expect the market to do in the near future. The Volatility Index spikes in times of uncertainty and when investors expect the market to go down. However, during a black swan event, historically the VXN has spiked a lot harder. We can use variance here to identify if a spike in the VXN exceeds our threshold for a normal market pullback, and potentially avoid entering trades for a period of time (I.e. maybe we don’t buy that dip).
Does this actually work?
In backtesting, this cut the drawdown of my index reversion strategies in half. It also cuts out some good trades (because high investor fear isn’t always indicative of a regime change or black swan event). But, I’ll happily lose out on some good trades in exchange for half the drawdown. Lets look at some examples of periods of time that trades could have been avoided using this strategy/indicator:
Example 1 – With the Volatility Warning Indicator, the mean reversion strategy could have avoided repeatedly buying this pullback that led to this asset losing over 75% of its value:
Example 2 - June 2018 to June 2019 - With the Volatility Warning Indicator, the drawdown during this period reduces from 22% to 11%, and the overall returns increase from -8% to +3%
How do you use this indicator?
This indicator determines the variance of VXN against a long term mean. If the variance of the VXN spikes over an input threshold, the indicator goes up. The indicator will remain up for a defined period of bars/time after the variance returns below the threshold. I have included default values I’ve found to be significant for a short-term mean-reversion strategy, but your inputs might depend on your risk tolerance and strategy time-horizon. The default values are for 1hr VXN data/charts. It will pull in variance data for the VXN regardless of which chart the indicator is applied to.
Disclaimer: Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas or be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
S&P500 VIX Volatility Warning IndicatorToday I am sharing with the community a volatility indicator that can help you or your algorithms avoid black swan events. Variance is most commonly used in statistics to derive standard deviation (with its square root). It does have another practical application, and that is to identify outliers in a sample of data. Variance in statistics is defined as the squared difference between a value and its mean. Calculating that squared difference means that the farther away the value is from the mean, the more the variance will grow (exponentially). This exponential difference makes outliers in the variance data more apparent.
Why does this matter?
There are assets or indices that exist in the stock market that might make us adjust our trading strategy if they are behaving in an unusual way. In some instances, we can use variance to identify that behavior and inform our strategy.
Is that really possible?
Let’s look at the relationship between VIX and the S&P500 as an example. If you trade an S&P500 index with a mean reversion strategy or algorithm, you know that they typically do best in times of volatility. These strategies essentially attempt to “call bottom” on a pullback. Their downside is that sometimes a pullback turns into a regime change, or a black swan event. The other downside is that there is no logical tight stop that actually increases their performance, so when they lose they tend to lose big.
So that begs the question, how might one quantitatively identify if this dip could turn into a regime change or black swan event?
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) uses options data to identify, on a large scale, what investors overall expect the market to do in the near future. The Volatility Index spikes in times of uncertainty and when investors expect the market to go down. However, during a black swan event, the VIX spikes a lot harder. We can use variance here to identify if a spike in the VIX exceeds our threshold for a normal market pullback, and potentially avoid entering trades for a period of time (I.e. maybe we don’t buy that dip).
Does this actually work?
In backtesting, this cut the drawdown of my index reversion strategies in half. It also cuts out some good trades (because high investor fear isn’t always indicative of a regime change or black swan event). But, I’ll happily lose out on some good trades in exchange for half the drawdown. Lets look at some examples of periods of time that trades could have been avoided using this strategy/indicator:
Example 1 – With the Volatility Warning Indicator, the mean reversion strategy could have avoided repeatedly buying this pullback that led to SPXL losing over 75% of its value:
Example 2 - June 2018 to June 2019 - With the Volatility Warning Indicator, the drawdown during this period reduces from 22% to 11%, and the overall returns increase from -8% to +3%
How do you use this indicator?
This indicator determines the variance of the VIX against a long term mean. If the variance of the VIX spikes over an input threshold, the indicator goes up. The indicator will remain up for a defined period of bars/time after the variance returns below the threshold. I have included default values I’ve found to be significant for a short-term mean-reversion strategy, but your inputs might depend on your risk tolerance and strategy time-horizon. The default values are for 1hr VIX data. It will pull in variance data for the VIX regardless of which chart the indicator is applied to.
Disclaimer : Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas or be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
