Dollar / Stocks Correlation OscillatorMakes visual the theory that "a strong dollar is bullish for equities/stocks"
...but oh man, these two are definitely not that strongly correlated.
What's the deal with that? Still learning. Glad for any comments.
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
Bollinger + RSI, Double Strategy Long-Only (by ChartArt) v1.2This strategy uses the RSI indicator together with the Bollinger Bands to go long when the price is below the lower Bollinger Band (and to close the long trade when this value is above the upper Bollinger band).
This simple strategy only places a long, when both the RSI and the Bollinger Bands indicators are at the same time in a oversold condition.
In this new version 1.2 the strategy was simplified even more than before by going long-only, which made the strategy more successful in backtesting than the previous version (that older version also opened short trades).
This strategy does not repaint and was updated to PineScript version 3.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
P.S. For advanced users: If you want also be able to short with the same strategy approach, then please use my older version 1.1:
Bars Since VIX MedianBARS SINCE VIX17 Median by dime (v1.0 release) 04/02/2017
(Inspired by "Bars Since the last RSI Extreme" from DRodriguezFX)
This indicator is useful in tracking how many daily bars since the VIX was last at a historically 'normal' range.
Currently the VIX has been in a period of low volatility for a period of 98 daily bars since the VIX was last at the 17 historical median.
SPY Master v1.0This is a simple swing trading algorithm that uses a fast RSI-EMA to trigger buy/cover signals and a slow RSI-EMA to trigger sell/short signals for SPY, an xchange-traded fund for the S&P 500.
The idea behind this strategy follows the premise that most profitable momentum trades usually occur during periods when price is trending up or down. Periods of flat price actions are usually where most unprofitable trades occur. Because we cannot predict exactly when trending periods will occur, the algorithm basically bets money on all trade opportunities during all market conditions. Despite an accuracy rate of only 40%, the algorithm's asymmetric risk/reward profile allows the average winner to be 2x the average loser. The end result is a positive (profitable) net payout.
TRADING RULES:
Buy/Cover = EMA3(RSI2) cross> 50
Sell/Short = EMA5(RSI2) cross< 50
BACKTEST SETTINGS:
- Period = March 2011 - Present
- Initial capital = $10,000
- Dividends excluded
- Trading costs excluded
PERFORMANCE COMPARISON:
There are 657 trades, which means 1,314 orders. Assuming each order costs $2 (what I pay for at Interactive Brokers), total trading costs should be $2,628.
-SPY (buy & hold) = 132.73 ---> 193.22 = +45.57% (dividends excluded)
-SPY Master v1.0 = $12,649 - $2,628 = $10,021 = +100.21%
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.