Euro FX Futures
שורט

Technical Setup on EURO but CAUTIOUS ahead of NFP

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Technical Analysis

After a modest rally, this week following Dollar weakness the Euro has a confluence of important technicals indicating possible weakness.

1) A retest of previous channel structure which has acted as important support and resistance over 3 months.

2) A retrace to the golden fib ratio 0f 50-61.8% (1.19200 - 1.16350)

3) Momentum divergence which can also be seen as playing out well earlier this week

4) Looks to currently be printing a bearish pin bar candlestick pattern

5) The daily 20MA lines perfectly as resistance

Fundamental Analysis

With NFP tomorrow, I will be hesitant on placing a significantly large trade size at the moment

However, I am expecting further risk-off sentiment heading into November, as investors look to reduce exposure on assets shifting towards currencies and Gold which could indicate further EUR bearishness into the month

Brussels suing the UK over plans to violate Brexit withdrawals - political uncertainty may cause a reduction in investment flows

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