Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024

20 ביוני

Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone


Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.


To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.


We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied.


Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades.


After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return.


Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy.


After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.