Market is in a stage where you confidently cannot take any directional view even though the fall seems to be quite straightforward. Banknifty had no movement after the initial 15-30 mins as compared to nifty which had a more steady fall. It had opened below our shorting level of 38855 and was a good candidate for short. I usually do not take a trade immediately after opening. So I had to sit through the whole day without wetting my beak. There is considerable writing in the 38500 CE which has two implications. It would be very tough to crack this level in the very short term and once it is broken, the movement will be massive due to short covering. But for now market is in a correction mode even though it is not an easy short due to the fear of resuming the bull trend.
Technically 37000 is possible on the downside but it would be very hard to take that trade. For now 38000 is the next target. Under no circumstances you should take a long trade unless 39000 is broken on the upside. For scalping a long side trade can be taken above 38400.
Dow futures is in deep red which supports our view.
Conviction bearish Bias bearish
Trading Ideas
Long above 38400 Target 38500 Short below 38230 Target 38000
>>Option buying
Long Position: Buy 38500CE Short position: Buy 38000 PE
>>Option Selling
Sell 38500 CE with 30 point SL (if you have sold this strike before keep trailing the SL)
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