Bitcoin Cash - Bitcoin Spirit, $450 Body; Think Tiny Bull
מעודכן
Important Reading for Anyone Interested in Bitcoin Cash: https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/6rxw7k/informative_btc_vs_bch_articles/dl8v4lp/
A history of the Bitcoin community over the last few years and how this day came to be. It's absolutely worth your time to read all of it, all the links, and make up your mind as to where you want to stand at this stage of history.
I will admit that my estimate in entry points was completely wiped out by tremendous bullish momentum. As of writing, South Korean volume was 557MM today for Bitcoin Cash, whereas Bitcoin Core was 266MM on HitBTC and 152MM on Bitfinex. If you think about the implications of this as the November fork drama approaches...
The advice that I will give you to you on Bitcoin Cash is most simple: do not short Bitcoin Cash.
Why? It is a tiny bull that has yet to grow into its full form. Think those little sponge animals that when you throw them into water, poof. Shorting Bitcoin Cash is a fantastic way to get a call from your good friend margin.
The $500 mark is a big mark as it represents both a former point of resistance and the return above a historical downtrend line.
If it breaks through that, next target is $549 previous resistance, which I would assume would be smashed through, and then after that $730.
When to buy? Buy a dip. Make sure you have strong hands. It _will_ dip. It _will_ retrace. Just keep in mind when bull runs are very manic, they can go up in a straight line for a long time with very few retracements. This is the benefit of strong hands. Frankly, buying a breakout is fine too.
Remember, in people's minds, and in reality, this is something that is very very much Bitcoin and is still selling for $400-$500 while Core is selling for $6,000. Once this hits a more feverish pitch, the fib uptrace lines are going to be smashed through as the blue (green) candles are straight lines.
Segwit2X Futures have been moving on HitBTC at $1,000 today: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/segwit2x/#markets. Bitcoin Cash as it stands today is worth tremendously more than Segwit2x with what it has, where it came from, and the fact it has first-mover advantage against other forks.
Think about it.
A history of the Bitcoin community over the last few years and how this day came to be. It's absolutely worth your time to read all of it, all the links, and make up your mind as to where you want to stand at this stage of history.
I will admit that my estimate in entry points was completely wiped out by tremendous bullish momentum. As of writing, South Korean volume was 557MM today for Bitcoin Cash, whereas Bitcoin Core was 266MM on HitBTC and 152MM on Bitfinex. If you think about the implications of this as the November fork drama approaches...
The advice that I will give you to you on Bitcoin Cash is most simple: do not short Bitcoin Cash.
Why? It is a tiny bull that has yet to grow into its full form. Think those little sponge animals that when you throw them into water, poof. Shorting Bitcoin Cash is a fantastic way to get a call from your good friend margin.
The $500 mark is a big mark as it represents both a former point of resistance and the return above a historical downtrend line.
If it breaks through that, next target is $549 previous resistance, which I would assume would be smashed through, and then after that $730.
When to buy? Buy a dip. Make sure you have strong hands. It _will_ dip. It _will_ retrace. Just keep in mind when bull runs are very manic, they can go up in a straight line for a long time with very few retracements. This is the benefit of strong hands. Frankly, buying a breakout is fine too.
Remember, in people's minds, and in reality, this is something that is very very much Bitcoin and is still selling for $400-$500 while Core is selling for $6,000. Once this hits a more feverish pitch, the fib uptrace lines are going to be smashed through as the blue (green) candles are straight lines.
Segwit2X Futures have been moving on HitBTC at $1,000 today: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/segwit2x/#markets. Bitcoin Cash as it stands today is worth tremendously more than Segwit2x with what it has, where it came from, and the fact it has first-mover advantage against other forks.
Think about it.
הערה
Smashed right into $520 as like a blow off top and is currently in pullback. You have to decide on your entry point based on how bullishly it recovers. But right now you can build a position at 460 and decide to add to it if it continues to drop and a fresh breakout above $500 is a good time to add as well.
הערה
Potentially the corrective pullback we've had at $520 may be finished. Price action is early so we have to watch carefully, but based on price action it looks like this count may work and we could see more gains. $500 is major resistance though, but keep in mind _very_ bullish movements will have limited pullbacks.
הערה
Just getting home after family things today. If you take a look at the BCH chart on the shorter time frames and watch it all day, it was a pretty scary looking dump, yet very normal. Remember in the original chart where I said "take profits, expect dumps"? Well, there's a reason for that. Analysis is only analysis and you have to always keep an eye on price action, decide your risk versus reward, how much you are willing to lose, how long you can tolerate being in drawdown, etc.
Also, remember when I said you may need strong hands? Think about all the people that held Bitcoin when it bubbled originally at $280 and then fell to $60. How hard was that? Yet those who did are now millionaires. It doesn't come easy.
As you can see from the chart it looks like we have a valid correction wave count with support being found at the critical support line.
Bull run may take a few days to a few weeks to continue upwards. It may also continue upwards tomorrow. It's very difficult to say.
In any event, as it stands now, you are trading with the trend by entering long positions at dipped prices and stronger hands will prevail.
Bitcoin is a mighty bull. Ask any cowboy how hard it is to stay on the back of one for 8 seconds.
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