Crude Oil Rises: Middle East Tensions and Falling US Inventories

Oil prices have risen for the third consecutive day, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East and a significant decline in U.S. crude inventories. Brent crude rose to $78.39 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate settled at $75.39. Concerns intensified after the assassination of militant leaders in the Middle East, generating speculation about possible retaliation that could disrupt oil supplies. In Libya, the declaration of force majeure at the Sharara oil field due to protests has added pressure to the market. In the U.S., crude inventories fell by 3.7 million barrels, well above expectations, indicating strong underlying demand. Analysts at ANZ and Citi suggest Brent could range between $80 and $85, driven by geopolitical and climate risks, and a cautious investor stance.

On the Brent chart, the most traded zone is between $84.10 and $80.88. After a double indecision at the beginning of the week, a price rally was seen yesterday. Today, the market may show signs of a return to the mean. The RSI, still in the oversold zone at 39.50%, and the POC at $82 suggest possible moves toward the mean, with a high zone at $95 and a low zone at $71.47.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst




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