btceur top would be if 200% gain happens in less than 40 days.

This is not the top.
Previous top followed the 250% gain that happen during only 6 weeks.

The speed of acceleration is not yet at maximum like it was during the previous rally.

There would be a short 2 week -20% pullback soon, around about 38 000 € or c. $45 000.

But bigger dip with 40% would be 3 Months later in April.
And if real HODLer will hold and survive the -40% they will see biggest 250% gain to prices above 150 000 in May.

After that I expect the real long Bear Market for 360 Days like the whole 2018 to prices below 25 000€