SebastianofMoon

The most important chart in Bitcoin: Metcalfe's law

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   ביטקוין
Sorry, I didn't know how to do it here on tradingview.
My very smart girlfriend Jixuan Wang used the program R to import and plot the real bitcoin price versus the Metcalfe price:

https://ibb.co/mFQOL9


Orange is real price from exchanges, green is Metcalfe price, which can be calculated from the number of the daily transactions squared:

P = C* T².

P=price
C= a constant, chosen such that the fit is good
T = number of daily transactions

If orange above green: BTC IS OVERPRICED
If green above orange: BTC IS UNDERPRICED


We are currently overpriced, same as in 2014/2015. This is one of the main reasons why I believe that this bearmarket will still go on for 1 more year.

כתב ויתור

המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.