매매일지
הערה:
הערה:
הערה:
yes we will eventually fill the gap, but this time i expect btc to finish leg up and full retrace back later to liquidity void and fill the gap on that retrace.
shake out early monday morning, and shoot back up next week (green week)
yes we will eventually fill the gap, but this time i expect btc to finish leg up and full retrace back later to liquidity void and fill the gap on that retrace.
shake out early monday morning, and shoot back up next week (green week)
הערה:
also poc doesn't really effect hard on this new range since we broke ATH,
but if you looking to enter new long position, 59908 - 60200 would work.
also poc doesn't really effect hard on this new range since we broke ATH,
but if you looking to enter new long position, 59908 - 60200 would work.
הערה:
in bull market, real alt bull market comes when dominance below 60
in bull market, real alt bull market comes when dominance below 60
הערה:
הערה:
and 2nd option
and 2nd option
הערה:
ETH
ETH
הערה:
small bidding here
small bidding here
הערה:
50x long taken out, 25x ? don't think so
50x long taken out, 25x ? don't think so
הערה:
time for major Alts maybe ?
הערה:
הערה:
still think we won't fill the CME gap, market will pushed thru derivatives, and fill the void later with spot sells.
הערה:
הערה:
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $58,999
Spot Vol.
Buy: $122.4M
Sell: $138.2M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $768.7M
Sell: $1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $35.6M
Sell: $29.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
i ve bid more on this level 59200
Price: $58,999
Spot Vol.
Buy: $122.4M
Sell: $138.2M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $768.7M
Sell: $1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $35.6M
Sell: $29.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
i ve bid more on this level 59200
הערה:
cme gap below , lots of untouched liquidity , fresh shorts
if co wants to push market with derivatives, they need a fuel
and it should be a good one.
so no directional bias, sure we can grab liquidity below 57k ish.
but think y are the CO that moves market, if you can push market with derivatives thru short closing = buying back (spot) , easily to upside and y can unload some spot btc on the better place, also it would make a big liquidity chunk below that can support their re accumulation or distribution. its a theory.
if co wants to push market with derivatives, they need a fuel
and it should be a good one.
so no directional bias, sure we can grab liquidity below 57k ish.
but think y are the CO that moves market, if you can push market with derivatives thru short closing = buying back (spot) , easily to upside and y can unload some spot btc on the better place, also it would make a big liquidity chunk below that can support their re accumulation or distribution. its a theory.
הערה:
viceversa - there is many demand on around cme gap that can bring bounce quick, so y can sell bit of stocks to pull the price down lower to get better bounce.
reason why i do not think this way is, there is no real supply at market on this moment, market is moving with derivatives now, then CO must close long position to sell the stocks, see the funding rates ( viewbase.com ). i don't see there is much closing on long positions.
reason why i do not think this way is, there is no real supply at market on this moment, market is moving with derivatives now, then CO must close long position to sell the stocks, see the funding rates ( viewbase.com ). i don't see there is much closing on long positions.
הערה:
so when btc bounce on this range, and head to 65k or over.
we will see that moves pushed thru derivatives (volume) and ironically funding won't go too high from now ( because CO will close their position on the uprise )
ppls won't calling for high funding rate ( because its been there, and its a BULL market lol ) and we will face rough retracement to this range or dipper ( 42-57 )
we will see that moves pushed thru derivatives (volume) and ironically funding won't go too high from now ( because CO will close their position on the uprise )
ppls won't calling for high funding rate ( because its been there, and its a BULL market lol ) and we will face rough retracement to this range or dipper ( 42-57 )
הערה:
and funny that CME isn't selling, if it fills , it should be way dipper than 57.4 it could be.
and funny that CME isn't selling, if it fills , it should be way dipper than 57.4 it could be.
הערה:
הערה:
cme gap not filled, but look at spots.. its already there
cme gap not filled, but look at spots.. its already there
הערה:
הערה:
cme gap not filled, but liquidity void taken
הערה:
didn't expect it lol.
54k is next liquidity zone
didn't expect it lol.
54k is next liquidity zone
הערה:
case #2
case #2
הערה:
case #3
taken out all liquidity void near by. 50k
case #3
taken out all liquidity void near by. 50k
הערה:
הערה:
הערה:
better we get support here, since 3day candle has strong support.
better we get support here, since 3day candle has strong support.
הערה:
NY open will be something cool?
הערה:
see the liquidity void
see the liquidity void
הערה:
הערה:
consolidate below poc, possible one more wick down.
consolidate below poc, possible one more wick down.
הערה:
in a bigger picture, btc should bounce on 52.7 with closing all the liquidity void.
if we go lower i will worry.
in a bigger picture, btc should bounce on 52.7 with closing all the liquidity void.
if we go lower i will worry.
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $54,496
Spot Vol.
Buy: $354.6M
Sell: $352.9M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.9B
Sell: $1.9B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $45.2M
Sell: $41.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
volume on monthly vwap
Price: $54,496
Spot Vol.
Buy: $354.6M
Sell: $352.9M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.9B
Sell: $1.9B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $45.2M
Sell: $41.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
volume on monthly vwap
הערה:
heavy bidding on monthly vwap
heavy bidding on monthly vwap
הערה:
note
it's not time to be bearish, and expecting reversal.
don't marry with your bias
note
it's not time to be bearish, and expecting reversal.
don't marry with your bias
הערה:
Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,931
Spot Vol.
Buy: $182.9M
Sell: $140.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $926.3M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $29.8M
Sell: $23.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $55,931
Spot Vol.
Buy: $182.9M
Sell: $140.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $926.3M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $29.8M
Sell: $23.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
הערה:
most calling for this bearish divergence on weekly/daily/4hour
다이버전스는 그 인디케이터의 high/low 가 컨펌이 되야 하는 것입니다.
한마디로 주봉상/일봉상 rsi low 가 나오기 전까지
weekly bearish / daily bearish div 는 온전히 추측일 수 밖에 없습니다.
most calling for this bearish divergence on weekly/daily/4hour
다이버전스는 그 인디케이터의 high/low 가 컨펌이 되야 하는 것입니다.
한마디로 주봉상/일봉상 rsi low 가 나오기 전까지
weekly bearish / daily bearish div 는 온전히 추측일 수 밖에 없습니다.
הערה:
if y want to sell the market, y can sure do that.
but y would do sell the market without confirmation.
confirmation will give you entry as well.
but y would do sell the market without confirmation.
confirmation will give you entry as well.
הערה:
lets see what NY brings us
lets see what NY brings us
הערה:
הערה:
Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,387
Spot Vol.
Buy: $156.3M
Sell: $135.1M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $782M
Sell: $911M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $27.6M
Sell: $39.1M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $55,387
Spot Vol.
Buy: $156.3M
Sell: $135.1M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $782M
Sell: $911M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $27.6M
Sell: $39.1M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
+funding rates ...
its coming
its coming
הערה:
While it may seem small, the ripple effects of small things is extraordinary. ...
While it may seem small, the ripple effects of small things is extraordinary. ...
הערה:
bounced on local eq, and above poc now.. should squeeze follow soon
bounced on local eq, and above poc now.. should squeeze follow soon
הערה:
so far so good, consolidation between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
so far so good, consolidation between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
הערה:
fresh 3day candle, previous candle close in bullish contiunation.
fresh 3day candle, previous candle close in bullish contiunation.
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $56,553
Spot Vol.
Buy: $158.3M
Sell: $139M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $928M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $27.5M
Sell: $15.9M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $56,553
Spot Vol.
Buy: $158.3M
Sell: $139M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $928M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $27.5M
Sell: $15.9M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,586
Spot Vol.
Buy: $67.2M
Sell: $65.4M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $508.8M
Sell: $624.7M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $14.2M
Sell: $18.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $55,586
Spot Vol.
Buy: $67.2M
Sell: $65.4M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $508.8M
Sell: $624.7M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $14.2M
Sell: $18.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
Took full profit on Hbar
Enj , Hbar seems breaking down parabolic structure.
Major alt seems pretty good especially XRP
Took full profit on Hbar
Enj , Hbar seems breaking down parabolic structure.
Major alt seems pretty good especially XRP
הערה:
ETH, XTZ, XRP , DOT , LTC in my alt bag.
הערה:
CHZ,Theta still in parabolic and no signs of weakness yet.
BAT started Parabolic, this usually goes stronger than expectation.
CHZ,Theta still in parabolic and no signs of weakness yet.
BAT started Parabolic, this usually goes stronger than expectation.
הערה:
Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $56,003
Spot Vol.
Buy: $79.4M
Sell: $81.9M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $659.8M
Sell: $662.9M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $12.7M
Sell: $9.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
note
still demand < supply in volumewise,
but price consolidated and made bounce = ?
Price: $56,003
Spot Vol.
Buy: $79.4M
Sell: $81.9M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $659.8M
Sell: $662.9M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $12.7M
Sell: $9.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
note
still demand < supply in volumewise,
but price consolidated and made bounce = ?
הערה:
many short liquidity around ath, and possible path, trap more shorts ? or break through and push up higher with liquidation cascade.
many short liquidity around ath, and possible path, trap more shorts ? or break through and push up higher with liquidation cascade.
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $56,350
Spot Vol.
Buy: $81M
Sell: $82M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $575M
Sell: $480.8M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19M
Sell: $14.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
derivative apes season coming
Price: $56,350
Spot Vol.
Buy: $81M
Sell: $82M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $575M
Sell: $480.8M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19M
Sell: $14.4M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
derivative apes season coming
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,791
Spot Vol.
Buy: $78.6M
Sell: $78M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $486.2M
Sell: $473.2M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $20.3M
Sell: $29.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $55,791
Spot Vol.
Buy: $78.6M
Sell: $78M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $486.2M
Sell: $473.2M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $20.3M
Sell: $29.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
still consolidating between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
if breaks down 50-51k would be good bidding
still consolidating between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
if breaks down 50-51k would be good bidding
הערה:
filling inefficiency
filling inefficiency
הערה:
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,066
Spot Vol.
Buy: $120.7M
Sell: $104.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $721.2M
Sell: $702.6M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $23.2M
Sell: $30M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $55,066
Spot Vol.
Buy: $120.7M
Sell: $104.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $721.2M
Sell: $702.6M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $23.2M
Sell: $30M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $54,841
Spot Vol.
Buy: $97.1M
Sell: $96.7M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $759.1M
Sell: $786.8M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $16.6M
Sell: $14.6M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
neutral again, market need a trigger
Price: $54,841
Spot Vol.
Buy: $97.1M
Sell: $96.7M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $759.1M
Sell: $786.8M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $16.6M
Sell: $14.6M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
neutral again, market need a trigger
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $55,183
Spot Vol.
Buy: $192.6M
Sell: $184M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.5B
Sell: $1.4B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $17.1M
Sell: $19.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
note
There is an announcement today at FOMC that everyone is concerned about,
i think the good news and the bad news that everyone knows is priced in already.
was it priced in good or bad ?
+ bond rised , stocks been sideway and pulled a bit, btc followed us100.
my bet Powell won't speak about any good or bad thing, after that it will push market up again without concerns.
Price: $55,183
Spot Vol.
Buy: $192.6M
Sell: $184M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.5B
Sell: $1.4B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $17.1M
Sell: $19.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
note
There is an announcement today at FOMC that everyone is concerned about,
i think the good news and the bad news that everyone knows is priced in already.
was it priced in good or bad ?
+ bond rised , stocks been sideway and pulled a bit, btc followed us100.
my bet Powell won't speak about any good or bad thing, after that it will push market up again without concerns.
הערה:
הערה:
if we break this supply chain, there is no stopping zone for short term.
70k + in one week prob
if we break this supply chain, there is no stopping zone for short term.
70k + in one week prob
הערה:
הערה:
Price: $58,928
Spot Vol.
Buy: $224.8M
Sell: $191.5M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.4B
Sell: $1.2B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19.7M
Sell: $25.1M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Spot Vol.
Buy: $224.8M
Sell: $191.5M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.4B
Sell: $1.2B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19.7M
Sell: $25.1M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
volume on spot is most important since btc heading towards ATH.
market is mostly pushing by volume on derivatives, which could be a concern.
but yes, i will wait and see when btc breaks ATH 61k, 65k will be a good point to watch if supply pops up.
volume on spot is most important since btc heading towards ATH.
market is mostly pushing by volume on derivatives, which could be a concern.
but yes, i will wait and see when btc breaks ATH 61k, 65k will be a good point to watch if supply pops up.
הערה:
if we hit supply on 63-65k ish, and see if there is signs of weakness.
btc prob gonna feel all the liquidity void below 39k , 44k.
btc prob gonna feel all the liquidity void below 39k , 44k.
הערה:
possibility like this
possibility like this
הערה:
again, its a one of possibilities, there is no signs of weakness yet.
and local bottom , volume expanded ( accumulated ).
and local bottom , volume expanded ( accumulated ).
הערה:
참고(교육) 자료.
참고(교육) 자료.
הערה:
הערה:
st , liquidity = 56.9 - 57.1
st , liquidity = 56.9 - 57.1
הערה:
57.3 = 50x long liquidation
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $58,161
Spot Vol.
Buy: $95M
Sell: $95.4M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $501.3M
Sell: $629.4M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $16.8M
Sell: $16.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
spot neutral , derivatives more sells.
Price: $58,161
Spot Vol.
Buy: $95M
Sell: $95.4M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $501.3M
Sell: $629.4M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $16.8M
Sell: $16.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
spot neutral , derivatives more sells.
הערה:
הערה:
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $58,100
Spot Vol.
Buy: $149M
Sell: $145.2M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $871.9M
Sell: $915.2M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $25.9M
Sell: $32.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
reversion
Price: $58,100
Spot Vol.
Buy: $149M
Sell: $145.2M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $871.9M
Sell: $915.2M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $25.9M
Sell: $32.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
reversion
הערה:
some supply pop , im laddering my order on low 56
הערה:
Im bidding 30% here 56.5
הערה:
deviation happen when there is liquidity to take out.
deviation happen when there is liquidity to take out.
הערה:
st , liquidity = all taken, building a position
st , liquidity = all taken, building a position
הערה:
הערה:
volume expanded on local bottom, consolidate above poc , funding neutral.
facebood ? apple ? 64k would be good target on next spike up.
my stops on b.e , enjoy the wknd
volume expanded on local bottom, consolidate above poc , funding neutral.
facebood ? apple ? 64k would be good target on next spike up.
my stops on b.e , enjoy the wknd
עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
הערה:
Spot Vol.
Buy: $148.9M
Sell: $138.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $1.1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19.3M
Sell: $20.2M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Buy: $148.9M
Sell: $138.6M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1.1B
Sell: $1.1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $19.3M
Sell: $20.2M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
הערה:
stepping on stone, enjoy the short squeeze on ny open.
possible 2 range that gives time major alt to follow up.