Historical Resistance ?!? Will it hold ?

Last time BTC Price closed below the trend line was on the 6th December 2011. The 200 day SMA touched it 2 times till then.
IMHO I think this time the price may go below, but the 200 day SMA will rebounce.

Any suggestions appreciate.

best regards.

הערה:

looks like it's testing again. So hopefully it will hold the line.