Hopefully the charts explain the idea. The previous bull run found support on the log scale .5 fib retracement. Now we are approaching the log scale .5 fib level of the bottom retracement. IMO this is a make it or break it level and may determine the trend in which BTC follows for the remainder of the year. Bullish idea is a large ascending triangle being built, and the bearish idea being a descending parallel channel that still needs to make 1 more wave down.