btc 9\17 weekend setup

good evening,

since my last post i've done a lot of pondering and observing.

i noticed something very important that's been taking place.

btc has been holding very steady over these last couple of days, while the global stock markets have been absolutely getting obliterated.

this is a massive sign of strength from my perspective, and it supports my bullish thesis going forward.

i do think that btc has the potential of seeing a run to about 55k in the days ahead.

specifically in time for the full moon on the 20th of september.

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i've shared a lot of bearish posts over the last few months, and very few bullish ones, so consider this post the beginning of something much larger (if this setup does indeed work out).

btc has to break through an important level of (49,770) in order to go parabolic. if it successfully does so, i'm going to share my full bullish theory, and explain in detail as to why i have changed my overall bias over the last couple of days from a technical perspective.

entry: 46,707~46,511
pt: 55,555

הערה:

there's a possibility that the correction is completed, but i am still a little suspicious.

until btc breaks out of this bear channel, it is bound within it, and will return to test the lower part of it.

good potential for a wxyxz going forward.

הערה:

uploaded a youtube video discussing this setup if anyone is interested ~

הערה:

after further examination of the current wave structure, this move has just enough momentum to get to my red box.

which means, this isn't a wave 2, but rather a wave C of a larger A-B-C as talked about in my previous post via:

once the red box is hit at 49.8k, there's a 90% chance btc falls to 40k.

הערה:

here's what we have so far,

i give btc a 95% chance of falling to 40k, after this final upside is attained.

possible it goes just slightly higher, to really solidify this bull trap - but as of this morning, what looked to be the beginning of something marvelous, just looks like a good ol bull trap to me.