BTCUSD bearish trap is forming - short SELL set up

I see the opportunity to SELL BTCUSD
it is forming a bear trap
the best price I'm not sure whether it can raise to that which is 4160-4260$ area is the best range that you can sell
the target price down max is 3470-3500$ according from my analysis
higher % chance to happen is target profit at 3700$ pretty much 95% confidence level
If you like my analysis please help to like and follow
Enjoy trading
Thank you

הערה:

double top

הערה:

now it is going down