Bitcoin: I Was Wrong! Learn From My Mistakes

21 ביולי

In my most recent Bitcoin analysis I talked about further bearish pressure and a bearish breakout from a bear-flag pattern.

That didn't play out as expected. Actually, BTC saw an almost 30% pump from the lows.

In this analysis I want to talk about what I did wrong and how you can learn from my mistakes.

Mistake 1: not zooming out and only focussing on one timeframe.
In the previous analysis I failed to see that BTC was actually trading at a support (bottom yellow line). Never short into a support and never long into resistance.



Mistake 2: the trend is your friend. Bitcoin has been trading in a dominantly bullish trend since January of 2023. Yes, there's been some dips here and there, but nothing crazy. It's more likely that BTC will go up that down over the next months.

Mistake 3: don't short when BTC hit's oversold on the RSI. Always keep an eye out for the oscillators (my favorite is the RSI). BTC has hit oversold on the daily for the third period since 2023, patient bulls will be buying!



In short, I was wrong. Should've done more research and follow simple trading rules. Learn from my mistakes and become a better informed trader.

For now, I'm waiting for a new all-time high to be reached. In which case, 100k is the next target. Let's hope for a great Q3 and Q4!