firmestudio

BTCUSDT Correction development scenario of bear market terminus

שורט
firmestudio מעודכן   
BINANCE:BTCUSDT   Bitcoin / TetherUS
BTC just made a pullback to neckline of the major Head and Shoulders formation on macro. Now, the price action is abandoning the distributive structure with weak volume, due to a micro H&S.

Points of interest

We can see on this chart levels to be watch in a potential swing downward. BTC has been trading in a choppy structure, consolidating within a ending diagonal. The potential drawdown till FEB close tends to be form a monthly bearish Harami candlestick pattern, which is highly reliable on higher timeframes.


This pattern can be consider highly reliable. A Harami bearish just play out on the last weekly close (1W) and tends to be form on 1M, in which is a rare case. In bear markets, this pattern is an important reversal signal after a rally of relief, indicating an intermediary point for an 2nd and final swing leg-down. On this chart, you can see that the potential throw-over of actual consolidation (choppy structure / breakout of Harami) is in confluence w/ a expected final swing leg-down of an expanding ending diagonal.
הערה:
Historically, all time the price retested 70.7% of the same Fibonacci retracement from bottom to HH, BTC has ignite his final leg-down, as we can see on this chart of BLX INDEX with all historic price action:
הערה:
As shown on the BLX 1M chart, in all the occurrences of a Harami bearish, only in three the Harami close not anticipate a low price.

כתב ויתור

המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.