CHF/JPY Analysis | Potential Reversal or Continuation ?

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CHF/JPY Technical Analysis & Forecast

📉 Market Overview: Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen (CHF/JPY) – 4H Chart : The pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, signaling a sustained bearish trend. The price action has consistently followed a lower high and lower low structure, confirming the prevailing downtrend.

However, recent price movements suggest potential signs of reversal as the pair approaches a key support zone. Let’s dive into the details.

🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Descending Channel: The market has been respecting a downward sloping trendline, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
✅ Major Support Zone: The pair has tested a crucial quarter fulfillment level, a historically strong support area.
✅ Double Bottom Formation: A potential reversal pattern is forming, hinting at a possible upward move.
✅ 50 EMA Acting as Dynamic Resistance: The price remains below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average, a key level to watch for bullish confirmation.
✅ Resistance Levels: The 169.000 (50% Fib) and 172.000 (75% Fib) levels are the next upside targets if buyers gain control.

📊 Prediction & Outlook:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A successful break above dynamic support/resistance and the 50 EMA could trigger a bullish move toward 169.000 and potentially 172.000.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the current support could see the pair continue its downward trajectory within the channel, with potential targets around 163.250.
🔹 Key Confirmation Point: A breakout above the support & resistance zone (~168.000) would strengthen bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to further downside.

📢 Trader’s Takeaway:
🔹 Short-term traders should watch for confirmation of the double bottom breakout.
🔹 Swing traders may look for opportunities within the current channel structure, capitalizing on both reversals and trend continuations.
🔹 Risk management is crucial; a break below 166.000 may invalidate bullish setups.

Stay tuned for more updates and trade wisely!

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