Sans_Sheriff

Crude Oil Bearish Continuation

שורט
Sans_Sheriff מעודכן   
NYMEX:CL1!   חוזים עתידיים נפט גולמי
CL1!

Crude Oil futures marked on the 1D chart

CL looks like it wants to target $66 on the weekly chart, so here's the daily chart for zoomed in analysis.

Confluences
  • Relative equal highs (EQH) for internal buyside liquidity rests in the middle of the range.
  • Imbalance above EQH.
  • Rejected a past 1D liquidity void.
  • Rejected a past 1D imbalance.
  • Overall bearish order flow since the summer; draw on liquidity is lower.
  • Bearish order block that took buyside liquidity; should now seek sellside on higher time frame.
  • Break of Structure (BOS)

I believe we may see a midweek reversal for Crude Oil. We are at a discount so a premium will first be sought after (the EQH and imbalance around ~76), but the higher time frame narrative is still bearish until $66.
הערה:
Idea no longer valid as oil looks like it wants to aim higher. However, this trading plan was immensely profitable for the week of December 12 - 16 despite the medium-term forecast being wrong.

כתב ויתור

המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.