adamnkiss

EURUSD - Contradictions in one picture - Trading Idea

adamnkiss מעודכן   
FX:EURUSD   יורו / דולר אמריקאי
Hey Everyone!

Yesterday, we were buying EURUSD with a good 1:3.2RR win.

Since then, my view has changed a bit. Let's look at this 1h picture.

Reasons to buy:
  • It's still going higher, making new highs and new lows (we call it an uptrend)
  • The trendline is still valid and acted beautifully when it came to hold the price
  • This retracement can be retest of the trendline, then we go up, up and away
  • If you look at daily chart, according to price action it can still hit the previous shadow of 9 nov.

Reasons to sell:
  • I have seen it many times, making new highs and lows and then, out of the blue it just broke down with candlesticks like that
  • On 1h and 4h we have a double top which is even more confirmation
  • Candlesticks on 1h shows loss of control by the bulls

All things considered, I will be monitoring this trading idea closely as this can be a bear trap as well - a moment when everything shows that it will go down but in the end it goes up - and I rather wait than jump in for no reason.
הערה:
As you can see there is a box around the trendline and the horizontal line which I call area of interest. After proper confirmation I will know whether to sell or buy from here.
הערה:
Perfekt bounce up as I said above. 20pips let's see how it goes
עסקה פעילה:
I'm in for a long position to check if we break out or not.

BUY @1.1248
S/L: 28 pips away
T/P: will be managed but around 50-60 pips
הערה:
The sell off is now a higher chance, we are at the exact same place what I have described this morning. Are we going to sell or buy? We'll see soon.
הערה:
Perfect breakdown, now waiting for a retest and then I jump in. More tomorrow.
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