Is $EUR vs. $USD Rallying Back To 1.38865? #euro #forex $bund

3145
At 1.04613, the nadir of last month also marked the exact level at which the LEFT completion of the geometry sent price to its 1-4 Line validation.

Upon a new month, price rose from that geometric validation, and appears to remains in suspension as of this writing (23 APR 2015).

Just as important, a new geometry has reached completion at its 5th plot, and since then has fallen further, just as to complete its prior geometric sibling, as just described above.


תמונת-בזק


At this point, there are TWO possible options, which have to be reviewed in correlation with this new geometric completion:

1 - Ether price consolidates with a NET BEARISH move, such that price attains the 1.618-Fibonacci extension as shown in the chart, and in this adverse excursive process would validate an ectopic Point-5 as its 5-prime (5'),

OR

2 - Price rallies from the current level, and based on the "Off-Set Rule" attains a re-balancing of the past years gyration by validating the 1.38865-to-1.39927 range.


OVERALL:

As you ma recall, I have released hints of this pattern completion by posting the large geometry as a background to the recent lessons on "Advanced Market Geometries" (see it here:
Advanced Financial Market Geos - Educational Ideas & Discussions
). Considering the current "Fork in the road" situation, I thought it was worth releasing the chart with the extent of details as shown in the illustration and start a health and edifying discussion on what the direction might be.

As you may already suspect, I will side with the BULLISH outlook, but an interim decline to complete a 5-prime definition should be entertained at this point - Let's keep this large time-frame under the elbow for now, as we are currently dealing with the recent bullish geometry just reelased (see it here:
Significant support at 1.06298/6241 Level | $EUR $USD #forex
).

Best,


David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA


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