EURUSD: The influence of USD!
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The recent rise in CPI indicates that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to make any significant changes in their policies this year. While there are signs of fatigue among those who hold USD long positions, the prevailing trend is still towards a stronger dollar. Unfortunately, global growth is not synchronized at the moment, which would typically lead to a weaker dollar. Other factors that could weaken the dollar, such as China's move away from a zero-covid policy or the resolution of European energy concerns, are not expected to have an impact anytime soon. The possibility of a Fed pivot is also a distant prospect.
Hot CPI means the Fed pivot is well beyond the horizon
The recent rise in CPI indicates that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to make any significant changes in their policies this year. While there are signs of fatigue among those who hold USD long positions, the prevailing trend is still towards a stronger dollar. Unfortunately, global growth is not synchronized at the moment, which would typically lead to a weaker dollar. Other factors that could weaken the dollar, such as China's move away from a zero-covid policy or the resolution of European energy concerns, are not expected to have an impact anytime soon. The possibility of a Fed pivot is also a distant prospect.
Hot CPI means the Fed pivot is well beyond the horizon
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