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GBPAUD Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Key Breakout Levels

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GBPAUD is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend, with price consolidating within a descending wedge pattern. The pair is testing a breakout point, and fundamentals favor a bullish recovery supported by GBP strength relative to AUD weakness.

Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Descending wedge formation, often a bullish reversal structure.

Current Level: 2.0507, holding within the wedge and preparing for a potential breakout.

Key Support Levels:

2.0416 – immediate support and invalidation zone if broken.

2.0350 – extended support if bearish pressure resumes.

Resistance Levels:

2.0650 – near-term breakout level.

2.0740 – secondary bullish target if breakout confirms.

Projection: If the wedge breaks upward, price could rally toward 2.0650 initially, then 2.0740 for further confirmation of bullish momentum.

Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms.

Key Fundamentals:

GBP: BOE remains cautious but leans toward maintaining tight policy amid sticky inflation.

AUD: RBA is constrained by weaker growth and trade risks linked to global tariffs, limiting AUD upside.

Global Sentiment: Risk-off sentiment weighs on AUD, favoring GBP relative strength.

Risks:

Hawkish RBA surprise or strong China data could strengthen AUD.

BOE dovish signals may cap GBP upside.

Key Events:

BOE policy updates and UK inflation data.

RBA meeting and Chinese economic releases.

Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/AUD is a lagger, often following EUR/AUD and GBP/USD movements, but it could gain momentum if GBP strength broadens against risk-sensitive currencies.

Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/AUD is setting up for a bullish reversal, with key breakout confirmation above 2.0650. A move toward 2.0740 would reinforce this scenario. The main watchpoints are BOE policy tone, RBA updates, and China’s economic signals.
עסקה פעילה
עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
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Descending wedge breakout played to perfection תמונת-בזק

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