Probability for 22/12/22

After nice drop in GBP/JPY and makink 40% I'm wondering if that was more to do with luck or my analisis. I did predict price will go down and I saw the build up, I wasn't expecting it will take that long and funny enough I wasn't aware of BOJ intrest rates news.

However I got two posibilities, up or down ( like alwas). Main Sellside liquidity was taken out and I see another build up but there is another sellside liquidity and massive FVG which was created during BOJ Intrest Rate News. I'm more towards going up but this is what Smart money wants you to think about it.

Please share your thoughts.