Daily US Stocks Volatility Forecast 23 May 22 APPL, TSLA, MSFT

90
Apple 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.63% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 138 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 138 + 3.6 -> aprox 141.6
BOT 138 - 3.6 -> aprox 134.4

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.94%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 138 + 5.4 -> aprox 143.4
BOT 138 - 5.4 -> aprox 132.6


תמונת-בזק
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Microsoft 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.63% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 253 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 253 + 6.6 -> aprox 259,6
BOT 253 - 6.6 -> aprox 246,4

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.75%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 92% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 253 + 9.5 -> aprox 262,5
BOT 253 - 9.5 -> aprox 243,5

תמונת-בזק

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TSLA 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 5.44% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 665 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 665 + 36 -> aprox 701
BOT 665 - 36 -> aprox 629

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 5.44%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 665 + 55 -> aprox 720
BOT 665 - 55 -> aprox 610

תמונת-בזק

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Google 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 2.7% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 2180 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 2180 + 60 -> aprox 2240
BOT 2180 - 60 -> aprox 2120

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 3.6%
With this we can achieve over the last 4000+daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 2180 + 80 -> aprox 2260
BOT 2180 - 80 -> aprox 2100

תמונת-בזק

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כתב ויתור

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