Strategy Inc

STRATEGY Mirror crash with 2022 to $60 has started.

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Michael Saylor won't like this. But the chart is what it is and that's an objective dynamic.

** The 5-year Channel Up and Bear Cycle **
Strategy (MSTR) has been trading within almost a 5-year Channel Up since the February 2021 Top of its previous Cycle. Within this lines, it has had its latest top (Higher High) on the week of November 18 2024 and since then it has been on a structured strong decline.

This decline has gotten even stronger once the price broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). So far, the 2025 correction is mirroring the 2021 one, which was the start of a 2-year (2021/21) Bear Cycle.

** The three Stages **
Based on that, we have valid reasons to expect that 2026 will also mirror the past Bear Cycle. What stands out on this analysis is that we have classified the whole Bear Cycle into three Stages. Based on that, we have now already entered Stage 2 as the price has broken below its 1W MA50 (and should stay as the Resistance for the remainder of the Cycle) and almost touched its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). When that happened in January 2022, the market rebounded towards the 1W MA50 where it was rejected and when it broke below the 1W MA200 as well, Stage 3 started. This Stage made the Bear Cycle bottom on the 1M MA250 (red trend-line) after a -90% decline in total. It was completed when the price broke above the 1W MA50 again, essentially confirming the start of the new Bull Cycle.

** Where is the bottom now? **
As a result, we may now see a short-term rebound, limited by the 1W MA50, which after it gets rejected and breaks below the 1W MA200, Stage 3 may start. If this Bear Cycle also crashes by -90%, we should then be expecting a bottom at $60 (at least), supported by the 1M MA250 again.

Notice also the striking symmetry among the 1W RSI patterns of the two Cycle fractals. The 1W RSI has currently hit the 30.00 oversold barrier (similar to Jan 2022) and it was a second break and then a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence that confirmed the bottom of the Bear Cycle, essentially turning Strategy Inc. into a long-term buy opportunity again.

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