Steffro

Small risk, Big profit

שורט
Steffro מעודכן   
FX:NAS100   ‏מדדנ נאסד"ק 100 ‏
Nasdaq has gone so much up lately and I think it will turn downwards next three years.

Target 1: 3500 (52%)
Target 2: 1760 (76%)
When: April 2021 and May 2022 / January 2024
Stop loss: Above the resistance arcs.

Arguments:
- 2 different Gann Squares says it made All time high last week.
- Gann line from the Gann Square is saying the same.
- Gann Fan line also says the same.
- Elliott Wave Theory fits in.

Forecast:
- It will descend rapidly next two-three years.
- Target 1 is chosen because of all the different lines and harmonics: Gann lines from different start points, 0.618 Fibonacci level and Gann Arc is located here. The potential from the drop in 2000 is also copied in here.
- Target 2 is chosen because of the trend line marked. Here is also a 0.886 Fibonacci level and a different Gann Arc located.
- In year 2000 it dropped for almost 3 years continuously. With that in my mind I know what the potential is in this case. Same thing happen on my idea on EOSUSD (Yes, it is a different case no doubt). In other word I think both targets are likely to happen.
הערה:
Here is a close-up on the current situation:

הערה:
Here is my earlier idea on EOSUSD as I mentioned:

הערה:
Things might go faster than expected:

הערה:
Pullback! Above the bottom line.
הערה:
Testing the bottom line again..
הערה:
Some weeks later this is the situation:

הערה:
10-year:

הערה:
10%
הערה:
15%
הערה:
Too much up lately?

הערה:
Update:

הערה:
Update:
הערה:
It won't stop rising! This is the last arc:

הערה:
Not sure how this will continue regarding the GANN idea, but it is clearly moving downwards currently. Right now it is testing the 50 MA.

הערה:
Currently testing the 200 MA. The 50 MA is pointing downwards. It is also testing the support area I made earlier (red box). Look closely on the Fib levels and the Gann lines. I've sketched some possible directions ahead.

הערה:
VIX at the moment:

הערה:
Look like an older pivot point made it pull back. A quick rise, but will it continue?

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