As we discussed yesterday, Nifty spent on an up-trending channel and ended sideways. If we look at the chart now: The market is in the channel right now. If it breaks down to the downside, it will give a nice bearish momentum. Support levels: 23303, 23233, and 23152 resistance levels: 23439, 23481
I am expecting the market: Case 1: Sideways in channel. Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Reason:
RSI 46-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price ~ EMA(13) but greater than EMA(200), which indicates the market can correct itself till 200 EMA.
EMA Bearish crossover of EMA(13, 50).
PCR = 1.17 which shows a bullish sign in the market.
Price ~ VWAP shows an indecisive market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in channel. Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways: Sell 23350 PE & 23400 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options) Case 2: Exit 23350 PE if it breaks to the downside.
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