Nifty and Bank Nifty Directions and Levels for the Last Week of September
Global Market Overview:
In the previous week, the global market continued to rally solidly. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias. This week, we can expect some continuation of the rally along with potential consolidation. In the meantime, there are some important events that we should pay attention to.
Our Market:
Our market also continued the solid rally. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias; however, the structures differ between Nifty and Bank Nifty. If we look at the price action, both are exhibiting a strong bullish trend. However, when comparing the wave counts, Nifty is progressing through its 5th sub-wave, while Bank Nifty is currently in its 3rd sub-wave.
How can we interpret this sentiment? Typically, this kind of sentiment leads to consolidation. For example, once Nifty finishes its 5th wave, it could experience a sharp correction. At that time, Bank Nifty might undergo a 4th wave, which is a consolidation wave, so we wouldn't expect much correction in that scenario. Once Bank Nifty completes its 4th wave, the 5th wave could resume a bullish bias, during this time, Nifty likely wouldn't continue its correction.
On the other hand, if Bank Nifty dominates the market (meaning the 3rd wave extends further), we cannot expect a correction in Nifty. It may seem a bit complicated, but in simple terms, we can anticipate consolidation where the market could either face rejection or experience a significant breakout.
#Nifty
Current View:
If the market breaks the previous high, we can expect the next target to be 26,034. This is a crucial level. If the market faces rejection there, we can expect a correction between 61% to 78% of the minor swing. However, confirmation of a correction will only be valid if the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. Until then, the market remains bullish.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market does not face rejection or consolidates instead, the rally is likely to continue to the level of 26,273.
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