Here are the market directions for the first week of August:
Global and Local Market Overview
Both global and local markets have a moderately bullish sentiment. This trend may continue this week. Last Friday, the global market closed up by 1.5%, so we might start this week on a positive note. Let's look at the details.
Nifty
* Last week, Nifty had big swings and closed around its previous high. On Monday, the market may open with a gap-up, according to Gifty Nifty. If this happens, we can expect the bullish sentiment to continue. Nifty is currently in the 3rd wave, which is a long upward trend. After this wave completes, there may be a small correction of about 23 to 38%. If the rally continues, it will enter the 5th wave, which is usually not as sharp. This is our basic structure.
* Means the 3rd wave might complete around 24,956 or 25,067. If it hits resistance at these levels, the 4th wave may begin, characterized by a small correction. After retracing, if it finds support around the 38% level, the rally may continue into the 5th wave, with targets ranging from 25,143 to 25,377. This is our current view.
* The alternate view is a flat correctional variation. I labelled it based on theory, but I will explain it simply. We said earlier that the 4th wave is a consolidation wave, so it can take a maximum of 38% correction. However, if the 4th wave falls sharply and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a deeper correction. If that happens, we can expect a correction of 61 to 78% in the minor swing. This is our alternate view.
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