21st Nov โ23 - Nifty PostMortem 19776 is a strong SR zone ๐
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: โSo I would like to continue with my neutral stance till then. For bullish momentum to resume, Nifty will have to take out 19776 and 19875 in one go, but for a bearish signal a single support break would suffice.โ
5mts chart link - click here
The open was right at the resistance level of 19776 and interestingly the dayโs low was set in the opening 5mts itself. We kind of broke out from this support/resistance zone by 12.10 and hit an intraday day of 19829 by 12.25. Unfortunately, these extra gains did not get defended because Nifty50 closed right back at the SR level @ 19780.
One thing is sure, Nifty was not at all looking weak today - it defended its ground pretty well. As we discussed yesterday, we cannot go bullish until 19875 is taken out in a single attempt, today that did not happen hence it is better to look for non-directional theta decay strategies till we get a strong clue.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, we made an island formation today, the gap-up created that illusion. The orange support/resistance line is proving so vital now. One thing is for sure, we would need BankNifty to fire up and reverse course for any further bullish stunts by Nifty. There is no way Nifty can do it without the support from the Banks. I would prefer to maintain my neutral strategy till we take out the 19875 levels. On the downside, I would prefer to go short if 19562 is taken out.
Recap from yesterday: โSo I would like to continue with my neutral stance till then. For bullish momentum to resume, Nifty will have to take out 19776 and 19875 in one go, but for a bearish signal a single support break would suffice.โ
5mts chart link - click here
The open was right at the resistance level of 19776 and interestingly the dayโs low was set in the opening 5mts itself. We kind of broke out from this support/resistance zone by 12.10 and hit an intraday day of 19829 by 12.25. Unfortunately, these extra gains did not get defended because Nifty50 closed right back at the SR level @ 19780.
One thing is sure, Nifty was not at all looking weak today - it defended its ground pretty well. As we discussed yesterday, we cannot go bullish until 19875 is taken out in a single attempt, today that did not happen hence it is better to look for non-directional theta decay strategies till we get a strong clue.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, we made an island formation today, the gap-up created that illusion. The orange support/resistance line is proving so vital now. One thing is for sure, we would need BankNifty to fire up and reverse course for any further bullish stunts by Nifty. There is no way Nifty can do it without the support from the Banks. I would prefer to maintain my neutral strategy till we take out the 19875 levels. On the downside, I would prefer to go short if 19562 is taken out.
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