OUST (Ouster Inc) – Positioning for Next Growth Wave

🚀 OUST (Ouster Inc) – Positioning for Next Growth Wave

Ticker: OUST | Exchange: NASDAQ | Timeframe: 1W

📊 Fundamentals

Revenue trending +30% YoY growth, Q2’25 ~$35M.

Strong gross margins ~41%, with upside from software.

Cash ~$171M, no debt, reducing risk.

Still unprofitable, but losses narrowing.

⚡ Catalysts

“Physical AI” Strategy → Transition from pure lidar hardware to AI + software integration (recurring, high-margin revenue).

Diversified End-Markets → Industrial (Komatsu), smart infrastructure (traffic systems), defense (DoD unmanned systems).

Expanding Demand for Lidar → Robotics, smart cities, autonomous machines, mapping.

Strong Execution → Record 5,500 sensors shipped in Q2; consecutive revenue beats.

Balance Sheet Strength → Flexibility to invest without debt pressure.

⚠️ Risks

Still negative earnings & cash burn → dilution risk.

Hardware margin pressure (supply chain, tariffs).

Competition in lidar + AI space.

Valuation high vs. current sales.

📈 Price Projection

Base case (1 yr): $35-45 | (3 yr): $60-80

Bull case (1 yr): $50-60 | (3 yr): $90-120+

Bear case (1 yr): $20-30 | (3 yr): $30-50

📝 Takeaway

OUST is evolving into a Physical AI + lidar leader, with strong catalysts in defense, industrials, and smart cities. If execution holds, this could be an inflection point.

🔎 Watch levels: $28.95 support → $35 breakout → $50 resistance.
📅 Mid-term accumulation play.


Personal Note: One Govt. Defense Contract can soar its value anytime. Keep this in a watch list.