S&P 500 Stabilizes at Some Interesting Levels

The S&P 500 ended March with a big bounce, and some new patterns have emerged for the key index.

First is a falling trendline along the highs of February. Prices briefly paused at this level on March 25 and 28 before breaking out. They returned to test and hold the line on April 1, which could mean old resistance has become new support.

Second, this line is flatter than the downtrend broken after the Federal Reserve meeting, which suggests bearishness is fading in the broader market.

Third, last week’s close roughly matched the early September high and the mid-December low. Will it now serve as support again?

Finally, the stabilization is occurring above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

Looking a little lower, traders may eye the early-March high around 4,417. It’s also near the 50-day SMA.

In conclusion, a new quarter has begun and earnings season is around the corner. Stocks face negativity because of inflation and slower profit growth. However investors keep putting money to work in new areas like Utilities (which broke out last week). They’re also returning to beaten-down growth areas like software, biotechnology and the Ark Innovation ETF. Is the S&P 500 climbing a “wall of worry” again?

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