SPX (05/26/2020 - 05/27/2020) - Short squeezing and gap-up
FA -Demand for oil came back steady as the economy is reopening. -2nd round of stimulus check is still pending. However, there will be a high chance of approval (Trump's intention). Still, this stimulus package will cause more trouble than people thought. youtube.com/watch?v=_2RINfXzmbM -Tech stocks are likely FOMO-ly bought due to speculations about economy opening and working remotely. Demand for tech equipment, cloud-based server, online shopping, etc... is expected to be higher than calculated. -Possibilities for Real Estate crash: youtube.com/watch?v=vmpaFiTTZBA -FED has scheduled overnight repo for Friday and Monday. Will likely a big gap-up tomorrow. newyorkfed.org/markets/domestic-market-operations/monetary-policy-implementation/repo-reverse-repo-agreements/repurchase-agreement-operational-details newyorkfed.org/markets/domestic-market-operations/monetary-policy-implementation/treasury-securities/treasury-securities-operational-details -Opening higher in both SPX and NDX can be explained by two reasons: +Trust from the investor on FED: more people hold long positions over the weekend and will be buying as soon as the market open ( Friday closed higher even when we have 3 days of risk). +Speculations on economy reopening. However, it is still risky to start buying for the long term. Still, we can trade long in a short period. Why? -volumes are respectively low- and -US 10Y treasury is still below 0.7%- are investor confidence indicators. The confidence has not yet recovered. So be aware of keeping long positions over this week. So take profits by trading long for the short-term.
TA SPX is in squeeze: prepare for a huge movement: bullish SPX is trading above all moving averages: very bullish. SPX had many chances to drop, however, it went up which indicates the top hasn't been decided yet. RSI: very bullish.
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