ridethepig | A closer look at US Equities
מעודכן
A timely update to the US Equities chart after a month of consolidation/chop. The energy building up here is immense, before you tackle what follows, you should quickly check that you are well versed in the notions concerning the retrace leg, the ABC sequence and passed crashes. If not you should refresh your ideas on these, because both of the following legs are necessary for full understanding for the next swing.
The question we are tracking is as follows:
After the 61.8% pullback from the sell-off, assuming equities do not advance beyond 3177, sellers have the possibility of opening a final leg lower opening the capitulation in the global economy. By playing the 5th wave lower, sellers release tension in the congested areas as naive short-term specs continue buying for no apparent reason. So why do these levels matter? Well, the 2892 is the measured target in the ABC sequence from the March 23rd lows, could buyers break back up as re-openings unfold? Not really possible as another test of the lows would be much healthier from a bulls perspective. It gives more time to load and re-position, even if in some modified form.
The next cycle down in the economy looks set to last into 2021, in other words all those expecting a V shaped bounce and running from the lows as quickly as you can are dividing the flows into two halves. For the sake of convenience we shall call this a "dead-cat-bounce". Remember we are tracking the two important fundamental charts on the macro side:
"It's Time"
"Alpha Protocol: Seeking Immediate Extraction"
Further pockets of shutdowns and social distancing measures will weigh heavy on consumer confidence, it looks unavoidable for the Northern Hemisphere Winter (December 2020) while in the background cooking there is a powerful urge to move away from Oil that seems to be unfolding. After the inconsiderable disadvantage US producers were put under via Russia, China and S.A, the battlefield has emerged:
But moreover, thanks to protectionism China and US are moving towards escalation. Foreign policy will provide the narrative for this final leg lower, Trump will attempt to establish lines of communications later in the Quarter with Xi although the damage has already been done. Follow the flows... capture the final leg lower in global equities, while the rest panic and begin to think its doom and gloom forever we can obtain the lows with cheap bids to exert pressure on soft buyers and later sellers (we can update the charts as we get down there later in June).
As usual thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc!
The question we are tracking is as follows:
After the 61.8% pullback from the sell-off, assuming equities do not advance beyond 3177, sellers have the possibility of opening a final leg lower opening the capitulation in the global economy. By playing the 5th wave lower, sellers release tension in the congested areas as naive short-term specs continue buying for no apparent reason. So why do these levels matter? Well, the 2892 is the measured target in the ABC sequence from the March 23rd lows, could buyers break back up as re-openings unfold? Not really possible as another test of the lows would be much healthier from a bulls perspective. It gives more time to load and re-position, even if in some modified form.
The next cycle down in the economy looks set to last into 2021, in other words all those expecting a V shaped bounce and running from the lows as quickly as you can are dividing the flows into two halves. For the sake of convenience we shall call this a "dead-cat-bounce". Remember we are tracking the two important fundamental charts on the macro side:
"It's Time"
"Alpha Protocol: Seeking Immediate Extraction"
Further pockets of shutdowns and social distancing measures will weigh heavy on consumer confidence, it looks unavoidable for the Northern Hemisphere Winter (December 2020) while in the background cooking there is a powerful urge to move away from Oil that seems to be unfolding. After the inconsiderable disadvantage US producers were put under via Russia, China and S.A, the battlefield has emerged:
But moreover, thanks to protectionism China and US are moving towards escalation. Foreign policy will provide the narrative for this final leg lower, Trump will attempt to establish lines of communications later in the Quarter with Xi although the damage has already been done. Follow the flows... capture the final leg lower in global equities, while the rest panic and begin to think its doom and gloom forever we can obtain the lows with cheap bids to exert pressure on soft buyers and later sellers (we can update the charts as we get down there later in June).
As usual thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc!
הערה
For those tracking the Dow:
עסקה פעילה
הערה
הערה
כתב ויתור
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