TON/USDT — Make-or-Break Level: Golden Support Zone Retest?

Overview

TON/USDT is currently testing a critical historical support zone at $2.30 – $2.90. This is not just another technical level—it’s a battlefield between buyers and sellers that will determine the next major trend for TON in the coming months.

Since topping out at $8.283, TON has been carving a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a medium-term downtrend.

Now, price has returned to the golden zone (yellow box), an area that acted as strong resistance in 2023 – early 2024 before finally being broken to the upside.

This zone is now being retested as support—meaning we are at a make-or-break moment for TON’s long-term trajectory.

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Bullish Scenario — Holding & Reversal

If this zone holds, TON could stage a strong rebound:

1. First target at $3.247.


2. A breakout above it could open the way to $4.087 – $4.798.


3. Further recovery may push TON back toward $5.879 → $6.865 → $7.932, and eventually its previous high at $8.283.



Bullish structure confirmation requires:

A higher low forming inside the golden box.

A clear breakout above $3.247 with strong volume.


This area could become the foundation for TON’s next major rally if buyers regain control.

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Bearish Scenario — Breakdown & Deep Correction

If sellers dominate and price breaks below $2.30, the downside risk expands significantly:

1. Next support lies at $1.90.


2. Failure there opens the way to $1.35.


3. In an extreme bearish case, TON could revisit its chart low at $0.984, a drop of more than 60% from current levels.



This bearish case gains strength if:

We see a decisive 3D/weekly close below the box.

Retests back into the zone are rejected (false recovery).

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Price Structure — Support/Resistance Flip

The current pattern is a classic S/R flip test:

The yellow zone was once major resistance.

After being broken, it flipped into major support.

Now, price is retesting it—meaning it will either bounce hard or break hard.

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Trading Strategy & Risk Management

Conservative Approach: Wait for a clear 3D/weekly bullish rejection candle before entering. Target $3.247, with stop loss just below the zone (~$2.15).

Aggressive Approach: Scale in around $2.50–$2.70 with a stop below the zone. First target remains $3.247. Higher risk, but high potential reward if the bounce materializes.

Breakdown Play: If $2.30 is lost on strong volume, wait for a failed retest and short the breakdown. Targets: $1.90 → $1.35.

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Conclusion

The $2.30 – $2.90 golden zone is TON’s battlefield.

Holding this level could spark a multi-stage recovery.

Losing it could trigger a deep correction to the 1.x range.

In such situations, patience and confirmation matter more than guessing.

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