Are U.S. Yield Curve Inversions Signaling 2023 Recession?

28 בדצמ׳ 2022

Looking at the Inverted Yield Curve Charts of the U.S. 10yr Treasury vs. U.S. 3mo Treasury (US10Y - US03M), along with the U.S. 10yr Treasury vs. U.S. 2yr Treasury (US10Y - US02Y) — are yields signaling a topping process? Or, should we even higher yields into 23'?

4-Hour Inverted Yield Curve Chart 📊

Top Chart: US10Y - US03M
Bottom Chart: US10Y - US02Y



Daily Inverted Yield Curve Chart 📊

Top Chart: US10Y - US03M
Bottom Chart: US10Y - US02Y



Weekly Inverted Yield Curve Chart 📊

Top Chart: US10Y - US03M
Bottom Chart: US10Y - US02Y



Monthly Inverted Yield Curve Chart 📊

Top Chart: US10Y - US03M
Bottom Chart: US10Y - US02Y



Monthly Inverted Yield Curve Chart 📊

Bottom Chart: US10Y - US02Y



U.S. 2yr Treasury (Inverted) vs. SPY (SPX ES1!) 📊

Black Line: SPY
Blue Line: US02Y Inverted




U.S. 2yr Treasury (Inverted) vs. QQQ (NQ Nasdaq) 📊

Black Line: QQQ
Blue Line: US02Y Inverted




U.S. 2yr Treasury (Inverted) vs. DIA (Dow Jones Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA) 📊

Black Line: DIA
Blue Line: US02Y Inverted




U.S. 2yr Treasury (Inverted) vs. IWM (Russell 2000 Russell Small Caps RUT) 📊

Black Line: IWM
Blue Line: US02Y Inverted




Do you think that yields have reached their peak for this Federal Reserve tightening cycle here in late 22'? Or, will we see further rises in yields, putting more pressure on risk assets in the new year (23')?👇🏼

Yield Curve Inversion Chart Template 📊👇🏼

• tradingview.com/chart/btWhEyqN/

Inverted U.S. 2yr Treasury Curve vs. Asset (SPY QQQ DIA IWM) Chart Template 📊👇🏼

• tradingview.com/chart/0h68KzYG/