Today's 3-Year Notes Auction Is Why The Stock Market Rebounded
After experiencing a sharp spike in the 10-year Treasury yield last month due to an unexpectedly weak demand of a US$62 billion 7-year notes auction, today marked the start of a crucial bond auction week that will test the condition of the bond market.
This week's schedule is as follows,
Tuesday: $58 billion auction in 3-year notes
Wednesday: $38 billion auction in 10-year notes
Thursday: $24 billion sale of 30-year bond
Following today's auction, the Treasury sold $58 billion in 3-year notes at an auction-high yield of 0.335%, with bidders seeking $2.69 for every $1 on offer from the government. According to the bid-to-cover ratio, which acts as an indicator of demand, the ratio stands at 2.69, which is stronger than both the 2.39 ratio we saw in February as well as the average ratio of 2.40, indicating that the bond auction was well-received compared to what was expected. As a result, lingering fear of an uncontrollable rise in velocity of the surge in Treasury yields was temporarily put to a halt today. This caused the 10-year Treasury yield to drop by 4.46% today, and resulted in a rebound in the U.S. stock market, with S&P 500 up by 1.42%, NASDAQ up by 3.69%, and DJIA up by 0.10%.
I expect Treasury yields and the result of the aforementioned bond auctions to continue acting as an indicator of the general direction of the broader stock market throughout this week. Market participants in the stock market should continue paying close attention to the situation surrounding the bond market as it will help provide you with insights on what you can expect for the day's movement.
Invest safe.
This is not investment advice so please do your own due diligence!
Support this idea with likes and share your thoughts below.
This week's schedule is as follows,
Tuesday: $58 billion auction in 3-year notes
Wednesday: $38 billion auction in 10-year notes
Thursday: $24 billion sale of 30-year bond
Following today's auction, the Treasury sold $58 billion in 3-year notes at an auction-high yield of 0.335%, with bidders seeking $2.69 for every $1 on offer from the government. According to the bid-to-cover ratio, which acts as an indicator of demand, the ratio stands at 2.69, which is stronger than both the 2.39 ratio we saw in February as well as the average ratio of 2.40, indicating that the bond auction was well-received compared to what was expected. As a result, lingering fear of an uncontrollable rise in velocity of the surge in Treasury yields was temporarily put to a halt today. This caused the 10-year Treasury yield to drop by 4.46% today, and resulted in a rebound in the U.S. stock market, with S&P 500 up by 1.42%, NASDAQ up by 3.69%, and DJIA up by 0.10%.
I expect Treasury yields and the result of the aforementioned bond auctions to continue acting as an indicator of the general direction of the broader stock market throughout this week. Market participants in the stock market should continue paying close attention to the situation surrounding the bond market as it will help provide you with insights on what you can expect for the day's movement.
Invest safe.
This is not investment advice so please do your own due diligence!
Support this idea with likes and share your thoughts below.
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