TVC:US10Y   איגרות חוב ממשלתיות בארה"ב בתשואה של 10 שנים
10-year forward interest rates. This is a very important figure. The analysis is technical in nature, but I would like to draw fundamental conclusions from it. It can be seen from the chart that futures interest rate pricing on 10-year U.S. government bonds is currently rising. The main reasons for this are the rise in oil prices, which may trigger a temporary rise in inflation. But it can also be seen from the figure that we are approaching the end of a transient ascending cycle. This assumes that 10-year dollar interest rates will peak at 1.43%. Then, according to the law of the wave sequence, the pricing of 10-year interest rates (thick red line) can once again take a strong declining path. This projects a strong dollar weakening. This weakening of the dollar could be the driving force behind the rise of the U.S. stock market, cryptocurrency market and commodity market. In the event that market futures interest rate pricing goes along the thick red line (I see a good chance of that now), stock market and commodity prices will now be flying to unimaginable heights. Crypto stock markets are also facing significant increases.

כתב ויתור

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