As most of you following will already know I have been calling for a BRL correction since last year. This has been a classic 5 wave sequence unfolding at the August 2018 highs. Since then we have formed the A and B leg of an incomplete ABC count which will ultimately target the 3.50 lows. That will include the ABC target as well as the 61.8% retrace of the Vth wave rally into Q3 last year.

All near-term rallies should be sold into, we should not really go much further than 3.945 as downside momentum is picking up.

Initial focus on 3.64 - 3.59 with scope to eventually crater down towards 3.49. The view will need reassessing should be break above 3.945.

Best of luck all those trading the BRL correction.
Beyond Technical AnalysisbrazilBRLcbobfedrealridethepigTrend AnalysisUSDUSDBRLWave Analysis

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