USDCAD Forecast: Loonie's gonna fly high.

Fundamentals: FED minutes, which were released on Wednesday emphasizing the positive outlook for employment and wage inflation was encouraging the Dollar Bulls. The minutes were pointing out that interest rate hikes will continue as previously determined as well.

On the Canadian side, temporary optimistic climate created by the USMCA agreement – ex NAFTA – has faded out after the data below the expectations. In addition to the slowdown in the housing sector, Friday’s Core Retail sales data could not meet the expectations.

Comparing the rate hike expectations; the market is pricing FED’s rate hike 2% – 2.25% and BAC rate hike 1.75% by the end of the year. -

On the weekly chart, Loonie completed the falling wedge pattern. The retest of the broken wedge and the bullish continuation confirm “the end of the correction.”

On the daily chart, USDCAD has completed an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The pair ended the week at 1.30990 above 1.30700 neckline.

The next targets of the pair will be:

1.31380

1.32000

1.33150

1.34700

as long as it holds above 1.29000.

Pay Attention: The major support resides @ 1.29000. Daily closing below 1.29000 would invalidate the ISHS pattern.

הערה:

We reached TP2. Latest news from Libya : Libya's oil production could soar higher despite OPEC weighing cuts.
CAD will remain under pressure for a while.

עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג:

We have reached our targets. Trade closed with 450 pips