Not my own idea but Kyle Bass points out 80% of the HKMA's "war chest" currency board reserves have been used maintaining the upper peg.
Trumps trade war is putting extra pressure on this peg breaking. Last time we saw a peg break was the SNB Frac's +30% 1500+ pips in 5 minute appreciation. There are only three routes for them they can raise more money in the domestic economy, they can raise HKD interest rates, or they can break the peg back to a free float system like the SNB.
Trumps trade war is putting extra pressure on this peg breaking. Last time we saw a peg break was the SNB Frac's +30% 1500+ pips in 5 minute appreciation. There are only three routes for them they can raise more money in the domestic economy, they can raise HKD interest rates, or they can break the peg back to a free float system like the SNB.
הערה:
Riots Happening 6/12/2019