USDJPY - What's the big picture?

Look at this chart of the USDJPY with weekly candles. It would make sense to at least surmise that there is a temporary top in place. Should we be looking to go long? or short? Below 116.00 should confirm the top for now. The price action from Feb 2nd is twice the average daily range. There are many possible Elliott Wave counts on this. 3 in particular that all seem to fit. 1 suggest a top, 1 suggest a shorter term pull back and renewed upside and another still, suggests a very long term top. With the daily range being so high and rejection of 121.75 to the downside... what do you expect?

הערה:

it's time to start thinking now that a bottom could be in place

הערה:

It's time to start looking up on this pair now. This week's candle looks like a key reversal