Betting to Bounce off Downward from the Trend Line

2002 to 2011: 2 yrs Bull --> 3 yrs Bear --> 2 yrs Bull -->4 yrs Bear -->3 yrs Bull --> ?starting by a 4 yrs Bear?

as long as the price does not break above the market psychological level of 110 for too long. The gravity of this pair will be pulling downward