ridethepig | ZAR Market Commentary 2020.02.17

Here tracking for a very technical pullback after a test of last week's open. Positioning is incredible stretched meaning the tree can be shaken at any minute, I want to get long USDZAR but reluctant to chase anything at these levels. Tracking a pullback into the 14.7x jurisdictions before doing anymore business here.

A similar move for those tracking USDTRY:

A breakdown is not necessary or fundamentally attractive in both TRY and ZAR, sitting tight and looking for cheaper levels in both makes sense to me. Market might give some of the high beta currencies a bid in the illiquid flows before EM FX receives a major hammer later in the week.

הפקודה בוטלה:

Same with TRY... Looks like we have a runner... no fills here, we will re-open the call before NY session today.