IvanLabrie

Broad market update: Deleveraging

השכלה
IvanLabrie מעודכן   
FX:XAUUSD   זהב / דולר אמריקאי
I think we might be about to see deleveraging in the market, judging by the action in the yen, together with Gold rising on falling $VIX, while $SPX peaks, but fails to advance further after $VIX fell slightly. I suspect mid term election woes plus all the barrage of bad news related to trade wars and other topics might push investors into cash. Personally I've sold all my holdings except for my positions in gold and $TSLA, and will look into rebuying once a bottom is clearly spotted in the broad market.
For now, I will focus on determining if this thesis is correct, and if so, look into maximizing my gains in the gold rally that might emerge from here.

Gold hit a monthly support level, got oversold, whilst being in a monthly uptrend and flashed a huge buy signal from the Commitment of traders report data, whilst the daily trend ended, forming a potential reversal setup. Risk/reward is optimal on the long side now. I will scale into the trend as we get more and more confirmation and other trend continuation signals later on. Targets for it are as high as 1550, if we confirm a monthly T@M signal eventually.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.
הערה:
Our long gold and $PAAS positions look good:

הערה:
הערה:

Oil looks ready to drop from here, would make the situation with equities worse possibly, in the short term at least. Both stocks and $USOIL look toppy.
הערה:
Positions look good overall. We continue to hold our golf and silver exposure.

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